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Chippenham Town vs Evesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Rose M.
10' Event
Walsh S.
(Penalty)
19' Event
Jones D.

AI Match Summary

Chippenham Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chippenham Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Chippenham Town
15%
Draws
36%
Evesham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chippenham Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Chippenham Town haven't matched Evesham's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chippenham Town a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chippenham Town have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chippenham Town Clean Sheet 16%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chippenham Town Evesham
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.19 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chippenham Town vs Evesham
4:2
Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Chippenham Town
2:0
Dec 17, 2011 Southern Premier League
Evesham vs Chippenham Town
2:4
Aug 16, 2011 Southern Premier League
Chippenham Town vs Evesham
1:0
Feb 22, 2011 Southern Premier League
Chippenham Town vs Evesham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chippenham Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jones D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Evesham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chippenham Town 66 / 100
Evesham 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chippenham Town Evesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chippenham Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Chippenham Town scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Evesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Away concern: Evesham has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chippenham Town VS Evesham
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chippenham Town

(Home)
03 Nov
Chippenham Town
4 : 2
Evesham
31 Oct
Wimborne
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
20 Oct
Hanworth Villa
1 : 1
Chippenham Town
17 Oct
Chippenham Town
1 : 4
Poole Town
13 Oct
Chippenham Town
0 : 2
Frome Town
Page 1 of 6

Evesham

(Away)
03 Nov
Chippenham Town
4 : 2
Evesham
31 Oct
Evesham
3 : 2
Bracknell Town
24 Oct
Evesham
0 : 4
Halesowen
20 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 0
Evesham
17 Oct
Evesham
1 : 4
Taunton Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uxbridge 16 11 3 2 33:14 36
2 Poole Town 16 10 2 4 28:17 32
3 Hanworth Villa 16 9 4 3 32:19 31
4 Plymouth Parkway 15 9 2 4 32:19 29
5 Chertsey Town 16 8 5 3 35:25 29
6 Bath City 16 9 2 5 21:15 29
7 Chichester City 17 9 1 7 30:28 28
8 Gosport Borough 16 7 3 6 25:22 24
9 Wimborne 13 6 4 3 22:9 22
10 Taunton Town 14 7 1 6 35:26 22
11 Frome Town 15 5 5 5 24:21 20
12 Berkhamsted Town 14 5 3 6 18:20 18
13 Yate 16 4 6 6 20:28 18
14 Sholing 14 4 5 5 19:21 17
15 Hanwell Town 16 4 5 7 22:26 17
16 Basingstoke 16 4 4 8 25:32 16
17 Chippenham Town 16 4 4 8 18:30 16
18 Evesham 17 5 1 11 21:37 16
19 Gloucester City 14 3 6 5 21:24 15
20 Bracknell Town 17 4 3 10 19:37 15
21 Malvern Town 16 4 2 10 24:41 14
22 Havant & Waterlooville 16 3 3 10 20:33 12
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