Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chippenham Town vs Yate

England England

FA Cup
Tue, Sep 22, 2026
2 - 1
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chippenham Town
30%
Draws
33%
Yate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chippenham Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chippenham Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Chippenham Town taking it.
  • Chippenham Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chippenham Town, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chippenham Town Clean Sheet 16%
Yate Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chippenham Town Yate
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 FA Cup
Chippenham Town vs Yate
2:1
Sep 18, 2026 FA Cup
Yate vs Chippenham Town
0:0
Aug 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chippenham Town vs Yate
1:1
Jul 10, 2023 Club Friendly
Yate vs Chippenham Town
0:1
Sep 14, 2013 FA Cup
Yate vs Chippenham Town
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chippenham Town 36 / 100
Yate 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chippenham Town Yate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chippenham Town scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Yate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chippenham Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chippenham Town VS Yate
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chippenham Town

(Home)
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1
Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0
Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Bath City
2 : 0
Chippenham Town
08 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3
Chippenham Town
05 Sept
Chippenham Town
1 : 1
Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 6

Yate

(Away)
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1
Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0
Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3
Yate
05 Sept
Yate
3 : 0
Devizes Town
31 Aug
Yate
1 : 4
Taunton Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Redcar Athletic 1
Stocksbridge 0
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Macclesfield -
Vauxhall 0
Dunston 2
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Scarborough Athletic -
Marine -
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Radcliffe -
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 6
South Liverpool 4
Prestwich Heys 3
Heaton Stannington 1
Knaresborough Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Trafford 3
Northwich Victoria 2
Atherton Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 2
Horbury Town 0
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
Stockton 3
Guiseley 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Lancaster 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Leamington 3
Ilkeston 1
Sherwood Colliery 2
Gainsborough 4
Northampton Sileby 0
Anstey Nomads 4
Cleethorpes 1
Newcastle Town 2
Morecambe -
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Southport -
Redcar Town 1
Blyth Spartans 0
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Darlington FC -
Buxton -
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Whitby 2
Ashton United 5
South Shields -
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Avro 0
Witton Albion 2
Bury FC 8
Wythenshawe FC 0
Workington 3
Marske United 0
Bromsgrove 2
Nuneaton 0
Sporting Khalsa 0
Leek Town 5
North Ferriby FC 0
Barton Town 2
Bourne 2
Boldmere St Michaels 3
Warrington Rylands 3
Hyde 1
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Chorley -
Telford -
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Worksop -
Garforth 1
United of Manchester 5
Ossett United 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Stafford 3
Northampton on Chenecks 0
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Hereford -
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 1
Stamford 0
Mickleover 1
AFC Emley 3
Bishop Auckland 1
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Spennymoor -
Lower Breck 5
Thornaby 1
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Chester -
Dunstable 1
Woodford Town 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Cornard United 0
AFC Totton -
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Gloucester City 5
Mangotsfield 1
Leighton Town 1
Gorleston 4
London Lions 2
Bury Town 4
Spalding United -
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Hanley Town 2
Abbey Hulton 1
Harborough -
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Stourbridge 1
Rushall 3
FC Witham Town 3
Stotfold 2
St. Albans 2
Hashtag 0
Bedford -
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King’s Lynn -
Hemel Hempstead -
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Wingate & Finchley 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Wellingborough 3
Kettering 4
Quorn 2
Shepshed 1
Knowle 1
Worcester 2
Alfreton 0
Stratford 2
Cambridge City 6
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Yaxley 1
Buckhurst Hill 4
Alvechurch 2
Wolverhampton City 0
Lye Town 1
Racing Club Warwick 5
Brackley -
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Portchester 2
Portland United 1
Canvey Island 2
Newmarket 1
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Chelmsford -
Chesham -
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Ware 6
Fakenham 4
Harleston Town 3
Romford 1
Real Bedford 4
Royston Town 1
Brixham 2
Dorchester 3
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Oxford City -
Billericay -
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Frenford 0
Enfield Town 4
Aveley 4
Cheshunt 2
Concord Rangers 2
Brentwood 4
Brantham 0
Waltham Abbey 7
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Dagenham & Red. -
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 4
Grays 0
Leiston 5
Hednesford -
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Coventry United 2
Bedworth United 1
Malvern Town 1
Redditch 5
Belper Town 0
Evesham 3
Stortford 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Hendon 7
Hullbridge 3
Desborough Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 4
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Stanway Rovers 1
Needham Market 3
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Braintree -
Southall FC 2
Cobham 1
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Dorking Wanderers -
Slough Town -
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Egham Town 0
Chatham 4
Merthyr Town -
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Truro -
Fleetlands 0
Cirencester 3
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Farnham -
Tonbridge -
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Ramsgate 1
Bracknell Town 0
Torquay -
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Basingstoke 0
AFC Stoneham 1
Winslow United 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Bath City 0
Weymouth 2
Broadfields United 1
Chichester City 4
SE Dons 2
Erith Town 0
Margate 1
Snodland 3
Redhill 1
Sheppey United 2
Chertsey Town 3
Carshalton 2
Sittingbourne 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4
Lewes 2
Cray Wanderers 3
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Maidstone -
Yate 3
Devizes Town 0
Chippenham Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Hampton & Richmond -
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Crowborough 4
Whyteleafe 3
Weston-super-Mare -
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Wimborne 3
Portishead Town 1
Falmouth Town 2
Frome Town 4
Gosport Borough 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Walton & Hersham -
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Horsham FC -
Uxbridge 3
Haywards Heath 0
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Farnborough -
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Slimbridge 4
Wells City 0
Hungerford 4
Maidenhead -
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Ebbsfleet -
St. Blazey 1
Tiverton 2
Sholing 2
Andover New Street 0
Salisbury -
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Taunton Town 4
Millbrook 0
Dulwich Hamlet 4
East Grinstead Town 0
Faversham 2
Welling 3
Thame United 3
Reading City 2
Banbury 1
Exmouth Town 2
Whitehawk 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Holmesdale 1
Windsor & Eton 5
Flackwell Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Burgess Hill 3
Jersey Bulls 1
Dover Ath. -
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Folkestone -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Poole Town 1
Tadley Calleva 3
Laverstock & Ford 1
Westfield 1
Dartford 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Camberley Town 1
Three Bridges 0
Kingstonian 1
Leatherhead 3
Croydon Athletic 0
Ascot United 1
Pagham 3
Hanworth Villa 4
Whitstable Town 1
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Quarter-finals
Redcar Athletic 1
Macclesfield 2
Dunston 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Marine 3
Radcliffe 2
Warrington Town 3
South Liverpool 0
Heaton Stannington 1
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 2
Prescot Cables 0
Hebburn Town 1
Guiseley 4
Bradford PA 1
Lancaster 0
Leamington 1
Gainsborough 4
Anstey Nomads 2
Newcastle Town 1
Morecambe 2
Southport 0
Redcar Town 2
Darlington FC 4
Buxton 1
Ashton United 0
South Shields 7
Witton Albion 0
Bury FC 5
Workington 1
Bromsgrove 2
Leek Town 1
Barton Town 3
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Warrington Rylands 0
Chorley 1
Telford 4
Worksop 7
United of Manchester 4
Ossett United 1
Stafford 3
Hereford 2
Halesowen 2
Mickleover 0
AFC Emley 0
Spennymoor 4
Lower Breck 1
Chester 2
Woodford Town 1
Mulbarton Wanderers 2
AFC Totton 0
Gloucester City 2
Gorleston 3
Bury Town 4
Spalding United 2
Hanley Town 0
Harborough 1
Rushall 0
FC Witham Town 0
St. Albans 3
Bedford 2
King’s Lynn 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Kettering 2
Quorn 0
Worcester 2
Stratford 1
Cambridge City 3
Buckhurst Hill 1
Alvechurch 3
Racing Club Warwick 1
Brackley 1
Portchester 0
Canvey Island 0
Chelmsford 1
Chesham 7
Ware 2
Harleston Town 1
Real Bedford 2
Dorchester 0
Oxford City 2
Billericay 1
Enfield Town 3
Aveley 2
Brentwood 3
Waltham Abbey 1
Dagenham & Red. 4
Hitchin 1
Leiston 2
Hednesford 0
Coventry United 1
Redditch 3
Evesham 0
Berkhamsted Town 4
Hendon 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 1
Needham Market 3
Braintree 6
Southall FC 6
Dorking Wanderers 7
Slough Town 0
Chatham 1
Merthyr Town 1
Truro 3
Cirencester 4
Farnham 3
Tonbridge 2
Ramsgate 1
Torquay 6
AFC Stoneham 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Weymouth 3
Chichester City 2
SE Dons 3
Snodland 0
Sheppey United 1
Chertsey Town 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 2
Cray Wanderers 3
Maidstone 1
Yate 1
Chippenham Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 4
Crowborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wimborne 3
Frome Town 0
Plymouth Parkway 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Horsham FC 3
Uxbridge 4
Farnborough 2
Slimbridge 1
Hungerford 3
Maidenhead 1
Ebbsfleet 3
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Salisbury 4
Taunton Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Welling 1
Thame United 6
Exmouth Town 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Hanwell Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Dover Ath. 4
Folkestone 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
Tadley Calleva 1
Dartford 4
Hayes & Yeading 2
Kingstonian 0
Leatherhead 1
Pagham 0
Hanworth Villa 6
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Semi-finals
Macclesfield -
Scarborough Athletic -
Marine -
Warrington Town -
Trafford -
Atherton Collieries -
Guiseley -
Bradford PA -
Gainsborough -
Anstey Nomads -
Morecambe -
Darlington FC -
Buxton -
South Shields -
Bury FC -
Bromsgrove -
Barton Town -
Chorley -
Worksop -
United of Manchester -
Stafford -
Halesowen -
Spennymoor -
Chester -
Mulbarton Wanderers -
Gloucester City -
Bury Town -
Spalding United -
Harborough -
St. Albans -
Bedford -
Wingate & Finchley -
Kettering -
Worcester -
Cambridge City -
Alvechurch -
Brackley -
Chelmsford -
Chesham -
Real Bedford -
Oxford City -
Enfield Town -
Brentwood -
Dagenham & Red. -
Leiston -
Coventry United -
Redditch -
Berkhamsted Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Braintree -
Dorking Wanderers -
Chatham -
Truro -
Cirencester -
Tonbridge -
Torquay -
Weymouth -
SE Dons -
Sheppey United -
Chertsey Town -
Cray Wanderers -
Chippenham Town -
Crowborough -
Wimborne -
Plymouth Parkway -
Horsham FC -
Uxbridge -
Hungerford -
Ebbsfleet -
Sholing -
Salisbury -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Thame United -
Eastbourne Borough -
Hanwell Town -
Dover Ath. -
Tadley Calleva -
Dartford -
Leatherhead -
Hanworth Villa -
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