Sport Picks
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Beijing Guoan
China
Super League Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing 
Match Events
34'
34'
Abreu F.
Assist: Zhang Xizhe
45'
45'
Chen Chunxin
46'
46'
Sub
Chen Chunxin In: Wu Yongqiang
Out: Chen Chunxin
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Chongqing Tonglianglong and Beijing Guoan finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Beijing Guoan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Beijing Guoan come out ahead of Chongqing Tonglianglong on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 19%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chongqing Tonglianglong | Beijing Guoan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Beijing Guoan
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare
Top Goalscorer Dimata L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lucao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Beijing Guoan Compare
Top Goalscorer Abreu F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Serginho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chongqing Tonglianglong 32 / 100
Beijing Guoan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chongqing Tonglianglong Beijing Guoan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Chongqing Tonglianglong's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Beijing Guoan let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Chongqing Tonglianglong remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chongqing Tonglianglong VS Beijing Guoan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Chongqing Tonglianglong
(Home) 25 Jul
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 0 Chongqing Tonglianglong
21 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 0 Qingdao West Coast
18 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
11 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
1 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 0 Qingdao West Coast
18 Jul
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
30 May
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 3 Beijing Guoan
20 May
Chongqing Tonglianglong
0 : 0 Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 3
Beijing Guoan
(Away) 26 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 2 Beijing Guoan
21 Jul
Dalian Kewei
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Beijing Guoan
2 : 0 Shandong Taishan
27 Jun
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 Wuhan Three Towns
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 2 Beijing Guoan
21 Jul
Dalian Kewei
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
19 Jun
Guangdong GZ-Power
1 : 2 Beijing Guoan
30 May
Chongqing Tonglianglong
2 : 3 Beijing Guoan
19 May
Qingdao West Coast
1 : 1 Beijing Guoan
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 41:20 | 44 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 23:22 | 29 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 40:38 | 28 |
| 4 | Dalian Yingbo | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 30:35 | 28 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 24:29 | 28 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 36:36 | 24 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 30:34 | 24 |
| 8 | Beijing Guoan | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 32:26 | 23 |
| 9 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Liaoning Tieren | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 25:31 | 21 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 28:37 | 20 |
| 12 | Shanghai Shenhua | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36:31 | 19 |
| 13 | Shanghai Port | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30:26 | 19 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 26:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27:34 | 14 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 30:38 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
