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Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Chengdu Rongcheng

China China

Super League Longxing Football Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Wei Shihao
27'
Ruan Qilong
29' Event
Wei Shihao
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Chongqing Tonglianglong and Chengdu Rongcheng finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
40%
Draws
29%
Chengdu Rongcheng
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Chengdu Rongcheng carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 18%
Chengdu Rongcheng Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chongqing Tonglianglong Chengdu Rongcheng
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Super League
Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Chengdu Rongcheng
3:3
Jun 23, 2023 FA Cup
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Chengdu Rongcheng
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimata L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cimpanu G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chengdu Rongcheng Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellington Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abduweli Behram
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chongqing Tonglianglong 32 / 100
Chengdu Rongcheng 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chongqing Tonglianglong Chengdu Rongcheng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chongqing Tonglianglong's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Chengdu Rongcheng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Chongqing Tonglianglong went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chongqing Tonglianglong VS Chengdu Rongcheng
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Qingdao Hainiu19631030:3614
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1856724:2211
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411