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Churchill Brothers vs Rajasthan United

India India

I-League 2024/2025 Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda)
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AI Match Summary

Churchill Brothers play Rajasthan United in the I-League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Churchill Brothers averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Rajasthan United averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Churchill Brothers won 3, Rajasthan United won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 1, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Churchill Brothers and 0.88 for Rajasthan United. This points to a Churchill Brothers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Churchill Brothers
17%
Draws
36%
Rajasthan United
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Churchill Brothers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Churchill Brothers picked up more points recently compared to Rajasthan United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Churchill Brothers Clean Sheet 25%
Rajasthan United Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Churchill Brothers Rajasthan United
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 I-League
Churchill Brothers vs Rajasthan United
3:1
Jan 25, 2025 I-League
Rajasthan United vs Churchill Brothers
1:0
Apr 10, 2024 I-League
Churchill Brothers vs Rajasthan United
7:0
Nov 13, 2023 I-League
Rajasthan United vs Churchill Brothers
2:0
Jan 17, 2023 I-League
Rajasthan United vs Churchill Brothers
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Churchill Brothers Compare

Top Goalscorer Dias T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandes S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Rajasthan United Compare

Top Goalscorer Amangeldiev B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churchill Brothers 47 / 100
Rajasthan United 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Churchill Brothers Rajasthan United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Churchill Brothers or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Churchill Brothers attacking → ← attacking Rajasthan United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Churchill Brothers scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Rajasthan United let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Churchill Brothers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rajasthan United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 47
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Kashi22126442:3142
2Churchill Brothers22117445:2540
3Real Kashmir22107531:2537
4Gokulam22114745:2937
5Rajasthan United2296734:3333
6Dempo2285935:3329
7Namdhari2285928:3029
8Lajong2277846:4528
9Sreenidi Deccan2277834:3728
10Aizawl FC22651135:4623
11SC Bengaluru22561124:4221
12Delhi FC22351421:4414