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Churriana de la Vega vs CD Torreperogil

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Lopez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Churriana de la Vega and CD Torreperogil finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Churriana de la Vega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Churriana de la Vega
33%
Draws
27%
CD Torreperogil
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Churriana de la Vega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Churriana de la Vega come out ahead of CD Torreperogil on wins alone.
  • Model gives Churriana de la Vega a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Churriana de la Vega Clean Sheet 68%
CD Torreperogil Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Churriana de la Vega CD Torreperogil
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Churriana de la Vega vs CD Torreperogil
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Torreperogil vs Churriana de la Vega
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Churriana de la Vega Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Torreperogil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Churriana de la Vega 50 / 100
CD Torreperogil 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Churriana de la Vega CD Torreperogil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Torreperogil let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Churriana de la Vega's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Churriana de la Vega stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

CD Torreperogil lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Churriana de la Vega VS CD Torreperogil
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Churriana de la Vega

(Home)
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
El Palo
0 : 2
Churriana de la Vega
03 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
UD San Pedro
26 Apr
CD Alhaurino
4 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
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CD Torreperogil

(Away)
10 May
Torre del Mar
1 : 2
CD Torreperogil
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2
El Palo
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
CD Torreperogil
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
12 Apr
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3 : 0
CD Torreperogil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mijas Las Lagunas34199646:2466
2Motril341811555:2965
3Torre del Mar341413737:2655
4Arenas Armilla341591038:2954
5Churriana de la Vega3414101032:4052
6Marbelli341491136:2851
7Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3413111039:3850
8UD San Pedro3413101139:3749
9Atletico de Porcuna341441641:3946
10Huetor Vega341291343:4245
11Granada CF B3410141049:4744
12CD Alhaurino3411101341:4143
13Melilla B349121330:3239
14Mancha349101530:3837
15Huetor Tajar349101540:4437
16Martos349101532:4837
17CD Torreperogil34961924:4533
18El Palo34691928:5327
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)