Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cianorte vs Coritiba

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay, Cianorte
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Wallisson In: Tissi
Out: Wallisson
55'
Vini Paulista
61'
Sub
Jesus da Silva C. In: Felipe Laurindo
Out: Jesus da Silva C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cianorte
30%
Draws
41%
Coritiba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coritiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Coritiba have won more games recently than Cianorte.
  • Model gives Cianorte a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Coritiba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coritiba, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Coritiba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cianorte Coritiba
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 10 14
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Cianorte
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Paranaense
Cianorte vs Coritiba
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Paranaense
Cianorte vs Coritiba
4:1
Mar 9, 2024 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Cianorte
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Paranaense
Cianorte vs Coritiba
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cianorte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Rangel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cianorte 68 / 100
Coritiba 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cianorte Coritiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cianorte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cianorte's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Coritiba has conceded goals in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Cianorte has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cianorte VS Coritiba
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cianorte

(Home)
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
Page 1 of 7

Coritiba

(Away)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3
Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Corinthians
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Londrina 3
Sao Joseense 2
Foz do Iguacu 1
Athletico-PR 8
Azuriz 0
Operario-PR 4
Coritiba 3
Cianorte 0
Semi-finals
Londrina 3
Athletico-PR 2
Operario-PR 5
Coritiba 4
Final
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1