Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cianorte vs Coritiba

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay, Cianorte
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Wallisson In: Tissi
Out: Wallisson
55'
Vini Paulista
61'
Sub
Jesus da Silva C. In: Felipe Laurindo
Out: Jesus da Silva C.

AI Match Summary

Coritiba in this Paranaense tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Cianorte
17%
Draws
13%
Coritiba
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cianorte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Coritiba have won more games recently than Cianorte.
  • Model gives Cianorte a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Coritiba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coritiba, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Coritiba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cianorte Coritiba
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.88 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Cianorte
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Paranaense
Cianorte vs Coritiba
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Paranaense
Cianorte vs Coritiba
4:1
Mar 9, 2024 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Cianorte
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Paranaense
Cianorte vs Coritiba
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cianorte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Rangel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cianorte 77 / 100
Coritiba 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cianorte Coritiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cianorte's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Coritiba has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Cianorte has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cianorte VS Coritiba
0.88 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
25% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Cianorte

(Home)
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
20 Jun
Sao Joseense
0 : 1
Cianorte
Page 1 of 7

Coritiba

(Away)
30 May
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Coritiba
25 May
Coritiba
3 : 2
Bahia
17 May
Santos
0 : 3
Coritiba
13 May
Coritiba
0 : 2
Santos
09 May
Coritiba
2 : 2
Internacional
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Londrina3
Sao Joseense2
Foz do Iguacu1
Athletico-PR8
Azuriz0
Operario-PR4
Coritiba3
Cianorte0
Semi-finals
Londrina3
Athletico-PR2
Operario-PR5
Coritiba4
Final
Londrina0
Operario-PR1