Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cibalia vs Karlovac

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion HNK Cibalia, Vinkovci
Cibalia Logo

Cibalia

2 - 1
FT
Karlovac Logo

Karlovac

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kelic R.
39' Event
Misic P.
44'
Markeljevic M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cibalia in this Prva NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cibalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Cibalia
35%
Draws
41%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cibalia lately — more wins on the board than Karlovac.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Prva NL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Cibalia Clean Sheet 20%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cibalia Karlovac
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Karlovac
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Prva NL
Cibalia vs Karlovac
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Cibalia
0:1
Mar 3, 2012 HNL
Cibalia vs Karlovac
2:0
Aug 20, 2011 HNL
Karlovac vs Cibalia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cibalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelic R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Misic P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Karlovac Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuljevic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cibalia 36 / 100
Karlovac 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cibalia Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cibalia's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Karlovac has conceded goals in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Cibalia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cibalia VS Karlovac
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cibalia

(Home)
18 Sept
Sesvete
1 : 2
Cibalia
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
09 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 0
Cibalia
05 Sept
Vukovar 1991
1 : 1
Cibalia
02 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Orijent
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Karlovac

(Away)
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
02 Sept
Dugopolje
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Opatija
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)