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Ciclon vs Real America

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017 Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2016/2017 game between Ciclon and Real America finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real America.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Ciclon
30%
Draws
47%
Real America
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real America

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciclon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Real America taking it.
  • Regular Nacional B 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 20%
Real America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciclon Real America
Matches Played 31 6
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 1
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.68 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Real America
2:4
Mar 18, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real America vs Ciclon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciclon 12 / 100
Real America 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciclon Real America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real America Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real America has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Ciclon's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Ciclon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ciclon VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciclon

(Home)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
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Real America

(Away)
06 May
Ciclon
2 : 4
Real America
29 Apr
Real America
0 : 0
Aurora
15 Apr
Real America
3 : 1
Fancesa
01 Apr
Fancesa
3 : 2
Real America
18 Mar
Real America
2 : 1
Ciclon
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 8 5 3 0 16:6 18
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 0 4 15:13 12
4 Always Ready 8 2 2 4 6:14 8
5 Atletico Bermejo 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 6 4 2 0 5:1 14
2 Real America 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Ciclon 6 0 2 4 6:13 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Final Stage)