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Ciclon vs Rosario Central

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2016/2017 Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2016/2017 game between Ciclon and Rosario Central finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciclon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ciclon
30%
Draws
41%
Rosario Central
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ciclon come out ahead of Rosario Central on wins alone.
  • Rosario Central are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 20%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciclon Rosario Central
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.74 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Rosario Central vs Ciclon
2:3
Nov 13, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Rosario Central
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciclon 20 / 100
Rosario Central 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciclon Rosario Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rosario Central has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Ciclon's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ciclon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ciclon VS Rosario Central
0.5 Goals Scored 1.17
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciclon

(Home)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
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Rosario Central

(Away)
25 Jun
Stormers SL
2 : 0
Rosario Central
17 Jun
Rosario Central
4 : 0
Huracan Tupiza
11 Jun
Rosario Central
1 : 2
Real Potosi
04 Jun
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Stormers SL
28 May
Huracan Tupiza
0 : 1
Rosario Central
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Destroyers 6 4 2 0 12:6 14
2 Real America 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Universitario Beni 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Miraflores 6 0 0 6 6:18 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 2 1 16:8 17
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 5 2 1 13:5 17
3 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 12:9 10
4 Tiquipaya 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
5 Deportivo Escara 8 0 2 6 5:26 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Bermejo 8 5 1 2 10:8 16
2 Ciclon 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Fancesa 8 4 1 3 17:8 13
4 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 3 1 4 21:12 10
5 Rosario Central 8 1 1 6 9:33 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2016/2017 (Winners stage)