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Stadium Background

Cienciano vs Cobresol

Peru Peru

Primera Division 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Rivero L.
56' Event
Rivero L.
77'

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2012 game between Cienciano and Cobresol finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cienciano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cienciano
15%
Draws
36%
Cobresol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cienciano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cienciano a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cienciano have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Cienciano Clean Sheet 68%
Cobresol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cienciano Cobresol
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.64 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Cienciano
1:2
Sep 2, 2012 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Cobresol
2:0
Aug 12, 2012 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Cobresol
4:0
May 27, 2012 Liga 1
Cobresol vs Cienciano
0:2
Oct 16, 2011 Liga 1
Cienciano vs Cobresol
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cienciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero L.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Castrillon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Cobresol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cienciano 95 / 100
Cobresol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cienciano Cobresol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cienciano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobresol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Cienciano scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Difficult form: Cobresol registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cienciano VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cienciano

(Home)
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Sport Boys
5 : 1
Cienciano
21 Aug
Botafogo RJ
1 : 0
Cienciano
16 Aug
Cienciano
0 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 7

Cobresol

(Away)
25 Nov
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Cobresol
18 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
U. San Martin
11 Nov
Cobresol
4 : 0
Sport Huancayo
06 Nov
Universitario de Deportes
4 : 0
Cobresol
01 Nov
Cobresol
1 : 2
Cienciano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 30 17 7 6 62:30 58
2 Cusco 30 16 9 5 38:21 57
3 Cesar Vallejo 30 16 7 7 44:27 55
4 Ayacucho 30 13 6 11 32:29 45
5 Juan Aurich 30 13 6 11 37:39 45
6 Jose Galvez 30 12 9 9 30:34 45
7 Universitario de Deportes 30 11 10 9 40:37 42
8 FBC Melgar 30 11 8 11 35:34 41
9 Leon de Huanuco 30 10 10 10 42:32 40
10 Sport Huancayo 30 11 7 12 34:37 40
11 U. San Martin 30 10 8 12 33:38 38
12 Union Comercio 30 11 5 14 37:43 38
13 A. Lima 30 9 11 10 31:36 34
14 Cienciano 30 10 4 16 37:46 34
15 Sport Boys 30 5 11 14 25:40 26
16 Cobresol 30 3 6 21 22:56 11
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