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Ciervos vs Calor De San Pedro Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Salvatierra J.
60' Event
Cabrera O.
87' Event
Ramos J.

AI Match Summary

Calor De San Pedro in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calor De San Pedro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ciervos
15%
Draws
59%
Calor De San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calor De San Pedro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Calor De San Pedro have won more games recently than Ciervos.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Calor De San Pedro taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Calor De San Pedro have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%
Calor De San Pedro Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciervos Calor De San Pedro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Ciervos
4:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Calor De San Pedro vs Ciervos
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Calor De San Pedro
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Calor De San Pedro vs Ciervos
3:1
Sep 7, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Calor De San Pedro
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciervos Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvatierra J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Calor De San Pedro Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciervos 14 / 100
Calor De San Pedro 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciervos Calor De San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calor De San Pedro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Calor De San Pedro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ciervos scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Ciervos remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciervos VS Calor De San Pedro
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciervos

(Home)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
Page 1 of 6

Calor De San Pedro

(Away)
02 Oct
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Acambaro
27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
12 Sept
Real Refineros
0 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)