Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Arconatese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Delcarro F.
68' Event
Bresciani S.
69' Event
Bardelloni E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 game between Ciliverghe Mazzano and Arconatese finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ciliverghe Mazzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ciliverghe Mazzano
35%
Draws
32%
Arconatese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ciliverghe Mazzano's 1.03 goals per match outpaces what Arconatese have produced (0.93).
  • Model gives Ciliverghe Mazzano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ciliverghe Mazzano Clean Sheet 10%
Arconatese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciliverghe Mazzano Arconatese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Ciliverghe Mazzano vs Arconatese
3:2
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Arconatese vs Ciliverghe Mazzano
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciliverghe Mazzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bresciani S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bardelloni E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Arconatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Delcarro F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medici C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 / 100
Arconatese 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciliverghe Mazzano Arconatese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arconatese has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ciliverghe Mazzano scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Arconatese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ciliverghe Mazzano VS Arconatese
0.57 Goals Scored 1.25
2.43 Goals Conceded 2.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciliverghe Mazzano

(Home)
04 May
Pro Sesto
2 : 1
Ciliverghe Mazzano
27 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
17 Apr
Folgore Caratese
5 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
13 Apr
Ciliverghe Mazzano
0 : 0
Sant'Angelo
06 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Ciliverghe Mazzano
Page 1 of 6

Arconatese

(Away)
20 Sept
Arconatese
0 : 3
Pro Patria
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2
AC Leon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ospitaletto 38 21 12 5 66:34 75
2 Pro Palazzolo 38 20 10 8 69:36 70
3 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:29 69
4 USD Casatese 38 19 11 8 58:34 68
5 Folgore Caratese 38 20 8 10 66:42 68
6 Varesina 38 17 13 8 61:44 64
7 Chievo 38 16 9 13 49:37 57
8 Pro Sesto 38 13 13 12 45:43 52
9 Club Milano 38 14 7 17 44:50 49
10 Sant'Angelo 38 11 15 12 41:41 48
11 Sondrio 38 12 11 15 39:51 47
12 Breno 38 11 14 13 42:53 47
13 Castellanzese 38 10 16 12 43:53 46
14 Vigasio 38 11 12 15 39:41 45
15 Sangiuliano City 38 11 12 15 39:46 45
16 Crema 38 11 11 16 48:57 44
17 Magenta 38 8 12 18 33:53 36
18 Fanfulla 38 6 14 18 28:57 32
19 Ciliverghe Mazzano 38 7 10 21 41:70 31
20 Arconatese 38 7 10 21 33:64 31
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)