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Cinfaes vs GD Resende

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tomazi M.
45' Event
Balde U.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between Cinfaes and GD Resende finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cinfaes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Cinfaes
35%
Draws
27%
GD Resende
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Cinfaes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cinfaes's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Cinfaes have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 68%
GD Resende Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cinfaes GD Resende
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 12 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.35 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs Cinfaes
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Cinfaes vs GD Resende
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Cinfaes vs GD Resende
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cinfaes Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomazi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balde U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

GD Resende Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cinfaes 77 / 100
GD Resende 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cinfaes GD Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cinfaes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cinfaes has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cinfaes scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

GD Resende has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Cinfaes VS GD Resende
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cinfaes

(Home)
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
01 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 1
AD Marco 09
18 Apr
Cinfaes
5 : 2
Aparecida
Page 1 of 7

GD Resende

(Away)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
22 Mar
GD Resende
1 : 1
Leca
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)