Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group H

Citta di Fasano

2 - 0

Ferrandina

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Penza E.

47'

Garcia Tena P.

51'

Salzano A.

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Citta di Fasano and Ferrandina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Citta di Fasano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Citta di Fasano

Draws

Ferrandina

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Citta di Fasano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Citta di Fasano carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Citta di Fasano taking it.
Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Citta di Fasano Clean Sheet 68%

Ferrandina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Citta di Fasano	Ferrandina
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	6
Draws	6	8
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	1.5	0.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group H

Citta di Fasano vs Ferrandina

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H

Ferrandina vs Citta di Fasano

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 0 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Citta di Fasano Compare

Top Goalscorer Penza E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Garcia Tena P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Ferrandina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Citta di Fasano 95 / 100

Ferrandina 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Citta di Fasano Ferrandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Citta di Fasano found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Ferrandina let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Ferrandina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Citta di Fasano VS Ferrandina

1.5 Goals Scored 0.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barletta	34	20	10	4	54:20	70
2	Martina Calcio	34	18	8	8	47:30	62
3	Citta di Fasano	34	18	8	8	51:35	62
4	Paganese	34	17	7	10	36:32	58
5	A.C.D. Nardo	34	14	13	7	40:27	55
6	Gravina	34	16	7	11	50:40	55
7	Afragolese	34	13	10	11	45:46	49
8	Fidelis Andria	34	13	9	12	35:28	48
9	Virtus Francavilla	34	12	12	10	45:40	48
10	Real Normanna	34	10	13	11	27:26	43
11	Francavilla	34	11	10	13	39:38	43
12	Manfredonia	34	11	10	13	34:39	43
13	Sarnese	34	9	14	11	51:49	41
14	SS Nola 1925	34	11	8	15	42:50	41
15	Heraclea	34	10	8	16	31:39	38
16	Pompei	34	9	7	18	26:38	34
17	Ferrandina	34	7	9	18	21:43	30
18	Acerrana	34	3	5	26	20:74	14