Sport Picks
Ciudad de Lucena vs AD Ceuta B
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 
Match Events
31'
31'
Cantarino Abelleira D.
87'
87'
Linares M.
AI Match Summary
Ciudad de Lucena in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad de Lucena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ciudad de Lucena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ciudad de Lucena have won more games recently than AD Ceuta B.
- Model gives Ciudad de Lucena a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ciudad de Lucena Clean Sheet 68%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ciudad de Lucena | AD Ceuta B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs AD Ceuta B
2:0
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Ciudad de Lucena
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs AD Ceuta B
1:2
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Ciudad de Lucena
0:0
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Ciudad de Lucena vs AD Ceuta B
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ciudad de Lucena Compare
Top Goalscorer Cantarino Abelleira D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Linares M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
AD Ceuta B Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ciudad de Lucena 86 / 100
AD Ceuta B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ciudad de Lucena AD Ceuta B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ciudad de Lucena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ciudad de Lucena scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
AD Ceuta B has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Ciudad de Lucena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ciudad de Lucena VS AD Ceuta B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ciudad de Lucena
(Home) 20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2 Tenerife B
13 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
1 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1 Ciudad de Lucena
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 1 Dos Hermanas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 2 Tenerife B
30 Aug
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Mancha
10 May
Ciudad de Lucena
2 : 1 Dos Hermanas
26 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
5 : 0 Tomares UD
18 Apr
Ciudad de Lucena
1 : 0 Bollullos
Page 1 of 3
AD Ceuta B
(Away) 19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3 Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1 AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0 AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2 AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1 AD Ceuta B
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0 AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2 AD Ceuta B
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1 AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 69:25 | 73 |
| 2 | Dos Hermanas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 69:39 | 60 |
| 3 | Atletico Central | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 36:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Bollullos | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 43:35 | 53 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 38:38 | 52 |
| 6 | Linense | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 45:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Cadiz B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 50:38 | 52 |
| 8 | Conil | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:44 | 52 |
| 9 | Cordoba B | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 44:44 | 44 |
| 10 | CD Utrera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | 44 |
| 11 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:44 | 43 |
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:45 | 43 |
| 13 | San Roque de Lepe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36:43 | 40 |
| 15 | Tomares UD | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Sevilla C | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 34:41 | 38 |
| 17 | Castilleja CF | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:62 | 27 |
| 18 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 24:59 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
