Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ciudad de Madrid vs Siello

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Aragon A.

AI Match Summary

Siello in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siello.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ciudad de Madrid
15%
Draws
85%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Siello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siello lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad de Madrid.
  • Model gives Siello a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ciudad de Madrid Clean Sheet 10%
Siello Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ciudad de Madrid Siello
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Ciudad de Madrid vs Siello
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Siello vs Ciudad de Madrid
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ciudad de Madrid Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Aragon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ciudad de Madrid 10 / 100
Siello 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ciudad de Madrid Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Siello Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Siello has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Siello lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad de Madrid found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Ciudad de Madrid VS Siello
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
3.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ciudad de Madrid

(Home)
10 May
Union Adarve
5 : 0
Ciudad de Madrid
03 May
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 4
Villaverde San Andres
25 Apr
Atl. Madrid C
5 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
19 Apr
Ciudad de Madrid
0 : 1
Siello
12 Apr
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 1
Ciudad de Madrid
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Siello

(Away)
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)