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Club Nacional vs Coquimbo

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Gran Parque Central, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gomez M.
12'
Glaby D.
45'
Viera T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Club Nacional advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Club Nacional
22%
Draws
60%
Coquimbo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Coquimbo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Coquimbo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Coquimbo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Club Nacional, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Club Nacional Clean Sheet 19%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Nacional Coquimbo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Club Nacional vs Coquimbo
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Coquimbo vs Club Nacional
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Coquimbo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Nacional 20 / 100
Coquimbo 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Nacional Coquimbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COQ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Club Nacional's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Coquimbo has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Club Nacional went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Nacional VS Coquimbo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Nacional

(Home)
21 Jul
Club Nacional
0 : 3
Tigre
17 Jul
Club Nacional
1 : 2
Wanderers
11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0
Club Nacional
06 Jun
Club Nacional
2 : 1
Juventud
31 May
Maldonado
3 : 0
Club Nacional
Page 1 of 6

Coquimbo

(Away)
12 Jul
Coquimbo
1 : 1
Union La Calera
08 Jul
Union La Calera
0 : 1
Coquimbo
04 Jul
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Coquimbo
01 Jul
Limache
1 : 1
Coquimbo
27 Jun
San Marcos de Arica
0 : 1
Coquimbo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo RJ651014:216
2Estudiantes L.P.62316:59
3Ind. Medellin62136:117
4Cusco60154:121
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo63128:610
2Deportes Tolima62227:68
3Club Nacional62227:98
4Universitario de Deportes61325:66
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia651015:616
2Fluminense62227:78
3Bolivar61236:85
4Deportivo La Guaira60336:133
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica64118:413
2Cruzeiro63218:311
3Boca Juniors62136:57
4Barcelona SC61052:123
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians63218:411
2Platense63128:710
3Santa Fe62226:78
4Penarol60334:83
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cerro Porteno64116:213
2Palmeiras632110:511
3Sporting Cristal62046:96
4Junior61145:114
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1LDU Quito64028:512
2Mirassol64027:412
3Lanus63033:79
4Always Ready61057:93
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle641111:613
2Rosario Central64119:113
3Universidad Central63037:119
4Libertad Asuncion60064:130
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)