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Club Siero vs Caudal Deportivo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Acerete C.
38' Event
Vega N.
70' Event
Oladipupo M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Club Siero and Caudal Deportivo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caudal Deportivo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Club Siero
39%
Draws
30%
Caudal Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caudal Deportivo come out ahead of Club Siero on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Club Siero Clean Sheet 12%
Caudal Deportivo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Siero Caudal Deportivo
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.86 2
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Club Siero
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Club Siero vs Caudal Deportivo
1:2
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Club Siero vs Caudal Deportivo
0:0
Jan 4, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Caudal Deportivo vs Club Siero
1:0
Feb 2, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Club Siero vs Caudal Deportivo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Siero Compare

Top Goalscorer Vega N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Caudal Deportivo Compare

Top Goalscorer Acerete C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oladipupo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Siero 30 / 100
Caudal Deportivo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Siero Caudal Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caudal Deportivo has conceded goals in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Club Siero's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Club Siero remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Club Siero VS Caudal Deportivo
0.86 Goals Scored 2
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Siero

(Home)
10 May
Club Siero
0 : 2
Union Club Ceares
03 May
Caudal Deportivo
0 : 1
Club Siero
26 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Tuilla
19 Apr
Club Siero
1 : 0
Navarro
12 Apr
Gijon Industrial
3 : 1
Club Siero
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Caudal Deportivo

(Away)
20 Jun
Caudal Deportivo
1 : 1
Atletico Central
14 Jun
Atletico Central
2 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
07 Jun
Covadonga
2 : 4
Caudal Deportivo
31 May
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Covadonga
24 May
Gijon B
1 : 2
Caudal Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llanera34294171:1891
2Covadonga34255488:2480
3Gijon B341910579:2967
4Caudal Deportivo34206859:3966
5CD Mosconia341671146:2955
6EI San Martin341491136:3651
7L Entregu CF3413101141:4249
8Union Club Ceares341291339:4045
9Praviano341191436:4242
10Club Siero341181539:4941
11CD Colunga341091538:5939
12Llanes348131344:5137
13Aviles Stadium346151321:4033
14Gijon Industrial347111636:5732
15Lenense347111636:5832
16Navarro346131538:5331
17Tuilla34762131:6027
18Real Titanico34392222:7418
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)