Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Club Tijuana W vs Club Leon W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Carter T.
24'
Sub
Camargo A. In: Gutierrez D.
Out: Camargo A.
26'
Soto K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Club Tijuana W and Club Leon W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Tijuana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Club Tijuana W
6%
Draws
4%
Club Leon W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Club Tijuana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Club Tijuana W come out ahead of Club Leon W on wins alone.
  • Club Tijuana W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Club Tijuana W Clean Sheet 10%
Club Leon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Club Tijuana W Club Leon W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Club Leon W
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Club Tijuana W
1:1
Mar 3, 2025 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Club Leon W
2:3
Sep 9, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Leon W vs Club Tijuana W
4:3
May 4, 2024 Liga MX Women
Club Tijuana W vs Club Leon W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Club Tijuana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Motau A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Enrigue J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Club Leon W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carter T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Club Tijuana W 83 / 100
Club Leon W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Club Tijuana W Club Leon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Club Tijuana W scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Club Leon W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Club Tijuana W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Club Tijuana W VS Club Leon W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Club Tijuana W

(Home)
25 Apr
Club Tijuana W
2 : 0
Mazatlan FC W
05 Apr
Necaxa W
1 : 6
Club Tijuana W
03 Apr
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Tigres UANL W
30 Mar
Club Tijuana W
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
22 Mar
Queretaro W
0 : 3
Club Tijuana W
Page 1 of 6

Club Leon W

(Away)
24 Apr
Club Leon W
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
06 Apr
Pachuca W
5 : 4
Club Leon W
31 Mar
Club Leon W
3 : 3
Toluca W
28 Mar
UNAM Pumas W
2 : 1
Club Leon W
24 Mar
Club Leon W
4 : 0
Atlas W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)