Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015

Lebrijana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CMD San Juan play Lebrijana in the Tercera Division - Group 10 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, CMD San Juan averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Lebrijana averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, CMD San Juan won 0, Lebrijana won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2016 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for CMD San Juan and 0.86 for Lebrijana. This points to a Lebrijana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

CMD San Juan

19%

Draws

42%

Lebrijana

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Lebrijana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

CMD San Juan picked up more points recently compared to Lebrijana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

CMD San Juan Clean Sheet 25%

Lebrijana Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CMD San Juan	Lebrijana
Matches Played	32	41
Wins	11	12
Draws	5	9
Losses	16	20
Goals Scored	1.09	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.39

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Lebrijana vs CMD San Juan

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Dec 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

CMD San Juan vs Lebrijana

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

CMD San Juan vs Lebrijana

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Sep 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Lebrijana vs CMD San Juan

Possession: 60% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

4:2

Feb 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Lebrijana vs CMD San Juan

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CMD San Juan 40 / 100

Lebrijana 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CMD San Juan Lebrijana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lebrijana or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CMD San Juan attacking → ← attacking Lebrijana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CMD San Juan scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Lebrijana let in goals in 73% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CMD San Juan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lebrijana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 45

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeciras	42	31	7	4	77:28	100
2	CD San Fernando	42	28	7	7	88:28	91
3	CD Gerena	42	28	3	11	89:38	87
4	Sanluqueno	42	26	5	11	74:40	83
5	AD Ceuta	42	20	12	10	50:32	72
6	Lebrijana	42	18	6	18	60:66	60
7	Conil	42	16	12	14	51:60	60
8	Sevilla C	42	15	13	14	42:45	58
9	Ecija	42	15	13	14	49:41	58
10	CD Alcala	42	15	12	15	40:52	57
11	Coria C.F.	42	16	9	17	48:42	57
12	San Roque de Cadiz	42	14	14	14	47:49	56
13	CMD San Juan	42	14	10	18	48:49	52
14	Los Barrios	42	15	7	20	45:50	52
15	CD Guadalcacin	42	14	10	18	39:48	52
16	Cabecense	42	12	13	17	36:54	49
17	Arcos CF	42	14	6	22	46:74	48
18	Mairena	42	11	11	20	42:55	44
19	PD Rociera	42	10	10	22	40:73	40
20	Cadiz B	42	9	11	22	45:54	38
21	La Palma CF	42	9	9	24	35:69	36
22	Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)	42	9	6	27	34:78	33