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Coalville Town vs Alvechurch

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Thorndike F.
37' Event
Chambers A.
73' Event
Chambers A.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 game between Coalville Town and Alvechurch finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coalville Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Coalville Town
6%
Draws
90%
Alvechurch
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alvechurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alvechurch come out ahead of Coalville Town on wins alone.
  • Alvechurch are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Coalville Town have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Coalville Town Clean Sheet 20%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coalville Town Alvechurch
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Coalville Town vs Alvechurch
2:1
Dec 5, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Coalville Town
1:4
Oct 28, 2023 FA Trophy
Alvechurch vs Coalville Town
0:1
Apr 18, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Coalville Town
0:3
Aug 13, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Coalville Town vs Alvechurch
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coalville Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Alvechurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorndike F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coalville Town 10 / 100
Alvechurch 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coalville Town Alvechurch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alvechurch let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Coalville Town scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Coalville Town has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alvechurch
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coalville Town

(Home)
15 Jul
Coalville Town
1 : 2
Coventry Sphinx
13 Jul
Coalville Town
0 : 3
Nuneaton
27 Apr
Coalville Town
1 : 4
Telford
20 Apr
Kettering
1 : 0
Coalville Town
16 Apr
Coalville Town
0 : 0
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

Alvechurch

(Away)
25 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 2
Alvechurch
21 Jul
Coleshill Town
2 : 2
Alvechurch
13 Jul
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 3
Alvechurch
11 Jul
Alvechurch
1 : 1
Solihull Moors
25 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 1
Leiston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Needham Market40267774:3485
2Telford402410669:3482
3Leamington401914761:3271
4Redditch402171265:5270
5Mickleover40256977:4369
6Stratford402161369:5769
7Stamford401991280:5866
8Halesowen401881454:5062
9St Ives Town401841887:7258
10Royston Town401761763:6157
11Coalville Town4015101568:5755
12Stourbridge4014101652:5052
13Leiston4014101656:7152
14Barwell4013121564:6551
15Kettering401391849:7448
16Alvechurch401291949:7045
17Bromsgrove401282044:5144
18Sudbury4010102053:6240
19Hitchin401162346:6439
20Long Eaton40572839:10922
21Berkhamsted Town403122531:8421
22Nuneaton00000:00
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)