Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coastal Spirit vs Wellington Olympic

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Linfield Park
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Davenport-Petersen T.
14' Event
Sinclair J.
27' Event
Mason-Smith S.

AI Match Summary

Wellington Olympic in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Coastal Spirit
6%
Draws
90%
Wellington Olympic
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wellington Olympic have won more games recently than Coastal Spirit.
  • Model gives Wellington Olympic a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Wellington Olympic have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Spirit Wellington Olympic
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.5 2
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 National League
Coastal Spirit vs Wellington Olympic
1:3
Sep 28, 2024 National League
Coastal Spirit vs Wellington Olympic
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 Chatham Cup
Coastal Spirit vs Wellington Olympic
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Chretien M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Wellington Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Davenport-Petersen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Spirit 10 / 100
Wellington Olympic 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Spirit Wellington Olympic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington Olympic has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Coastal Spirit's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Away concern: Wellington Olympic has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Spirit VS Wellington Olympic
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Olympic1070323:1421
2Auckland City1062219:1420
3Miramar1061325:1419
4Auckland FC 21053217:1018
5Western Springs1051416:1316
6Birkenhead1050520:2115
7Christchurch1042416:1914
8Wellington Phoenix 21031618:2110
9Western Suburbs1031619:2110
10Auckland United1022611:198
11Coastal Spirit102175:237