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Coastal Spirit vs Western Suburbs

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Maclennan D.
51' Event
Yoo D.
52' Event
Yoo D.

AI Match Summary

Coastal Spirit in this National League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Coastal Spirit.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Coastal Spirit
30%
Draws
34%
Western Suburbs
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coastal Spirit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coastal Spirit lately — more wins on the board than Western Suburbs.
  • Coastal Spirit are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Coastal Spirit Clean Sheet 10%
Western Suburbs Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Spirit Western Suburbs
Matches Played 27 21
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 National League
Western Suburbs vs Coastal Spirit
8:0
Oct 13, 2024 National League
Coastal Spirit vs Western Suburbs
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Spirit Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoo D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Maclennan D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Western Suburbs Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Spirit 34 / 100
Western Suburbs 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Spirit Western Suburbs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Western Suburbs conceded in 86% of 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Coastal Spirit scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Western Suburbs lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coastal Spirit VS Western Suburbs
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Birkenhead962123:1620
2Auckland City961220:1019
3Western Springs960325:1618
4Napier City952221:1417
5Wellington Phoenix 2941416:1913
6Wellington Olympic932417:1511
7Coastal Spirit932418:2011
8Cashmere Technical923416:189
9Eastern Suburbs91268:175
10Western Suburbs91179:284