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Coastal Union vs Biashara Mara United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coastal Union play Biashara Mara United in the Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Coastal Union averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Biashara Mara United averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Coastal Union won 4, Biashara Mara United won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Coastal Union and 1.00 for Biashara Mara United. This points to a Coastal Union double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Coastal Union
28%
Draws
27%
Biashara Mara United
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Coastal Union picked up more points recently compared to Biashara Mara United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 23%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coastal Union Biashara Mara United
Matches Played 43 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Biashara Mara United
1:0
Dec 20, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Coastal Union
0:1
Apr 13, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Coastal Union
0:1
Oct 19, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Biashara Mara United
3:0
Jul 18, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Coastal Union
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Suleiman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Biashara Mara United Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coastal Union 45 / 100
Biashara Mara United 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coastal Union Biashara Mara United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coastal Union or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +24%
4.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coastal Union attacking → ← attacking Biashara Mara United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union scored in 65% of their last 43 games.

Biashara Mara United let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Coastal Union went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Biashara Mara United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 32
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

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15Biashara Mara United305131223:3528
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