Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Suleiman A.
15'
15'
Said I.
65'
65'
Hafidh R.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 game between Coastal Union and Mwadui finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coastal Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mwadui haven't matched Coastal Union's recent run of results.
- Model gives Coastal Union a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 68%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coastal Union | Mwadui |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 15, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mwadui
5:0
Dec 22, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Coastal Union
0:0
Feb 29, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Coastal Union
2:0
Oct 20, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Mwadui
2:1
Feb 14, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Coastal Union
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coastal Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Said M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Suleiman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Mwadui Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coastal Union 95 / 100
Mwadui 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coastal Union Mwadui
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mwadui's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Away concern: Mwadui has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Coastal Union scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Coastal Union VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Coastal Union
(Home) 06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
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24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1 Pamba
27 Jun
Coastal Union
0 : 2 Azam
12 Jun
Coastal Union
1 : 1 Namungo
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Mwadui
(Away) 18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0 Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3 Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0 Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0 Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2 Mwadui
27 Apr
Gwambina
1 : 2 Mwadui
21 Apr
Ruvu Shooting
5 : 1 Mwadui
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 78:14 | 83 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 52:21 | 74 |
| 3 | Azam | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:22 | 68 |
| 4 | Biashara Mara United | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 28:32 | 50 |
| 5 | Kinondoni MC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 39:27 | 48 |
| 6 | Polisi Tanzania | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 29:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Tanzania Prisons | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 25:25 | 44 |
| 8 | Dodoma Jiji | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:31 | 44 |
| 9 | Namungo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 24:31 | 43 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 11 | Ruvu Shooting | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:38 | 41 |
| 12 | Kagera Sugar | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:38 | 40 |
| 13 | Coastal Union | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:46 | 40 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 21:31 | 39 |
| 15 | JKT Tanzania | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Gwambina | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:37 | 35 |
| 17 | Singida Black Stars | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 22:41 | 35 |
| 18 | Mwadui | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 24:69 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
