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Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Mixco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Verapaz
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Gonzalez O.
15'
Pereira J.
18'
Lemus B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Coban Imperial and Deportivo Mixco finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Coban Imperial
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Coban Imperial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportivo Mixco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Coban Imperial a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Coban Imperial Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coban Imperial Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial
2:0
Apr 29, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Mixco
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Liga Nacional
Coban Imperial vs Deportivo Mixco
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Coban Imperial
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coban Imperial Compare

Top Goalscorer De Leon L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coban Imperial 95 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coban Imperial Deportivo Mixco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Deportivo Mixco conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Deportivo Mixco's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Coban Imperial scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coban Imperial VS Deportivo Mixco
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219