Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coburg vs Pfaffenhofen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Pfaffenhofen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Coburg
30%
Draws
58%
Pfaffenhofen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pfaffenhofen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Coburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pfaffenhofen's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Coburg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pfaffenhofen, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Coburg Clean Sheet 10%
Pfaffenhofen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coburg Pfaffenhofen
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 7 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 2
Goals Scored 1.33 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Coburg vs Pfaffenhofen
0:3
May 21, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Pfaffenhofen vs Coburg
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coburg 22 / 100
Pfaffenhofen 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coburg Pfaffenhofen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pfaffenhofen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coburg scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Pfaffenhofen conceded in 73% of 11 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Coburg went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coburg VS Pfaffenhofen
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coburg

(Home)
11 Jul
Einheit Rudolstadt
2 : 2
Coburg
27 Jun
Coburg
0 : 2
Munchberg
25 May
Coburg
0 : 3
Pfaffenhofen
21 May
Pfaffenhofen
2 : 1
Coburg
16 May
Coburg
2 : 4
ASV Neumarkt
Page 1 of 6

Pfaffenhofen

(Away)
05 Sept
Schalding
2 : 2
Pfaffenhofen
29 Aug
Pfaffenhofen
0 : 3
TSV Schwabmunchen
25 Aug
Pfaffenhofen
1 : 1
Heimstetten
22 Aug
Geretsried
2 : 3
Pfaffenhofen
14 Aug
Pipinsried
5 : 0
Pfaffenhofen
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Pfaffenhofen 5
Coburg 1
Grossbardorf 3
ATSV Erlangen 0
Munchberg 0
Stadeln 1
Seebach 1
Kottern-St. Mang 4
TSV 1880 Wasserburg 4
FC Sturm Hauzenberg 0