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Cointe-Liege vs Ougree FC

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cointe-Liege play Ougree FC in the Belgian Cup 2016/2017. Cointe-Liege are favorites here. Recently, Cointe-Liege averaged 2.46 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. Ougree FC averaged 1.8 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Cointe-Liege won 1, Ougree FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 31, 2016 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Cointe-Liege and 1.00 for Ougree FC. This points to a Cointe-Liege double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Cointe-Liege
25%
Draws
15%
Ougree FC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Cointe-Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Cointe-Liege picked up more points recently compared to Ougree FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Cointe-Liege Clean Sheet 23%
Ougree FC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cointe-Liege Ougree FC
Matches Played 13 5
Wins 8 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 2.46 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.85 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2016 Belgian Cup
Cointe-Liege vs Ougree FC
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cointe-Liege 59 / 100
Ougree FC 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cointe-Liege Ougree FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cointe-Liege Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cointe-Liege & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.28
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cointe-Liege attacking → ← attacking Ougree FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cointe-Liege scored in 92% of their last 13 games.

Ougree FC let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Cointe-Liege went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ougree FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 6
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.80
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00