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Stadium Background

Colchester U21 vs Sunderland U21

England England

Premier League Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Newby A.
28' Event
Akande A.
Assist: Evans M.
29' Event
Proctor T.

AI Match Summary

Colchester U21 in this Premier League Cup tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Colchester U21
6%
Draws
90%
Sunderland U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sunderland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Colchester U21 haven't matched Sunderland U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sunderland U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Sunderland U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Colchester U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Colchester U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colchester U21 Sunderland U21
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 22, 2025 Premier League Cup
Colchester U21 vs Sunderland U21
4:2
Oct 17, 2025 Premier League Cup
Sunderland U21 vs Colchester U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colchester U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Akande A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Newby A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sunderland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Proctor T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colchester U21 10 / 100
Sunderland U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colchester U21 Sunderland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland U21 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Colchester U21's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Sunderland U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colchester U21 VS Sunderland U21
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Colchester U21

(Home)
25 Jul
Braintree
4 : 0
Colchester U21
20 Apr
Bristol City U21
3 : 1
Colchester U21
17 Apr
Charlton U21
2 : 2
Colchester U21
14 Apr
Colchester U21
1 : 1
Cardiff U21
10 Apr
Barnsley U21
4 : 0
Colchester U21
Page 1 of 7

Sunderland U21

(Away)
18 Jul
South Shields
1 : 1
Sunderland U21
14 May
Sunderland U21
1 : 2
Burnley U21
26 Apr
Manchester United U21
3 : 2
Sunderland U21
15 Apr
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Blackburn U21
06 Apr
Derby U21
2 : 1
Sunderland U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Reading U21650110:315
2Bournemouth U21632115:1011
3Hull City U21620412:126
4Birmingham U2160245:172
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sheffield Utd U21660014:718
2Stoke City U21613210:126
3Derby U21612315:125
4Bristol City U21611410:184
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipswich U21641112:413
2Charlton U2163129:1410
3Leicester U21620411:96
4Preston U2161236:115
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Watford U21631212:1010
2Blackburn U21622210:88
3Leyton Orient U21622211:128
4Coventry U2161327:106
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Brom U21641113:1013
2Brentford U21640216:512
3Exeter U2162134:77
4Luton U2161058:193
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley U21640211:1012
2QPR U21631211:910
3Cardiff U21621315:127
4Stockport U21620411:176
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nottingham U21651010:316
2Swansea U21631214:910
3Wolves U2162139:117
4Millwall U2160157:171
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester U21631215:1210
2Sunderland U21631213:1010
3Bromley U2163037:119
4Norwich U21612310:125
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)