Sport Picks
Colchester U23 vs Swansea U23
England
Professional Development League 2021/2022 Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe), Colchester 
Match Events
19'
19'
Thomas D.
31'
31'
Hutchinson J.
48'
48'
Lowe R.
AI Match Summary
Colchester U23 in this Professional Development League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colchester U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Swansea U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Colchester U23 lately — more wins on the board than Swansea U23.
- Swansea U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Colchester U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Swansea U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colchester U23 | Swansea U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 13 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2022 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Colchester U23
4:2
Sep 28, 2021 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Swansea U23
3:1
May 7, 2021 Professional Development League
Colchester U23 vs Swansea U23
1:1
Oct 4, 2020 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Colchester U23
3:3
Mar 20, 2020 Premier League Cup
Colchester U23 vs Swansea U23
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colchester U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hutchinson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Swansea U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Forrester J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colchester U23 10 / 100
Swansea U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colchester U23 Swansea U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swansea U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swansea U23 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Colchester U23's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Solid form: Colchester U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Colchester U23 VS Swansea U23
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Colchester U23
(Home) 03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2 Peterborough U23
29 Apr
Millwall U23
2 : 3 Colchester U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2 Colchester U23
19 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 3 Bristol City U23
15 Apr
Colchester U23
2 : 3 QPR U23
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03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2 Peterborough U23
19 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 3 Bristol City U23
15 Apr
Colchester U23
2 : 3 QPR U23
11 Apr
Colchester U23
0 : 0 Watford U23
06 Apr
Colchester U23
1 : 4 Crewe U23
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Swansea U23
(Away) 28 Apr
Wigan U23
2 : 2 Swansea U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2 Colchester U23
04 Apr
Swansea U23
2 : 2 Sheffield Wed U23
22 Mar
Barnsley U23
0 : 0 Swansea U23
14 Mar
Swansea U23
5 : 1 QPR U23
Page 1 of 7
28 Apr
Wigan U23
2 : 2 Swansea U23
22 Mar
Barnsley U23
0 : 0 Swansea U23
08 Mar
Bristol City U23
1 : 0 Swansea U23
28 Feb
Ipswich U23
4 : 1 Swansea U23
11 Feb
West Ham U23
1 : 0 Swansea U23
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield Utd U23 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47:23 | 48 |
| 2 | Coventry U23 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 57:39 | 43 |
| 3 | Hull City U23 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:41 | 40 |
| 4 | Wigan U23 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 31:39 | 25 |
| 5 | Crewe U23 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 27:50 | 23 |
| 6 | Peterborough U23 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 36:41 | 22 |
| 7 | Barnsley U23 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 22:42 | 22 |
| 8 | Sheffield Wed U23 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 21:32 | 20 |
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ipswich U23 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 58:27 | 51 |
| 2 | Bristol City U23 | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 60:31 | 50 |
| 3 | Cardiff U23 | 24 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 44:30 | 47 |
| 4 | Charlton U23 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 55:46 | 36 |
| 5 | Millwall U23 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 34:45 | 30 |
| 6 | Colchester U23 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35:44 | 29 |
| 7 | Watford U23 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 28:43 | 25 |
| 8 | Swansea U23 | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34:41 | 24 |
| 9 | QPR U23 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 34:53 | 24 |
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
