Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio de Colegiales

Gimnasia y Tiro

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colegiales play Gimnasia y Tiro in the Primera Nacional. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colegiales averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Gimnasia y Tiro averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Colegiales won 1, Gimnasia y Tiro won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Colegiales and 0.69 for Gimnasia y Tiro. This points to a Gimnasia y Tiro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Colegiales

20%

Draws

41%

Gimnasia y Tiro

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia y Tiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Colegiales picked up more points recently compared to Gimnasia y Tiro.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Colegiales Clean Sheet 28%

Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Colegiales	Gimnasia y Tiro
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	10
Draws	7	10
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.03	0.97
Goals Conceded	0.9	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Primera Nacional

Colegiales vs Gimnasia y Tiro

Possession: 58% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Feb 14, 2026 Primera Nacional

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Colegiales

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sep 20, 2025 Primera Nacional

Colegiales vs Gimnasia y Tiro

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

May 18, 2025 Primera Nacional

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Colegiales

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 4 - 0

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegiales Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Galetto J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sivetti F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegiales 41 / 100

Gimnasia y Tiro 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Colegiales Gimnasia y Tiro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gimnasia y Tiro or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +22.1%

3.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colegiales attacking → ← attacking Gimnasia y Tiro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegiales scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Gimnasia y Tiro let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Colegiales went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gimnasia y Tiro lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 40

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Moron	19	10	4	5	27:17	34
2	Ferro	18	10	4	4	20:13	34
3	Ciudad Bolivar	19	7	9	3	18:13	30
4	Los Andes	19	7	8	4	16:7	29
5	Colon Santa Fe	18	7	8	3	21:14	29
6	Almirante Brown	19	8	5	6	14:12	29
7	Deportivo Madryn	18	7	7	4	24:18	28
8	CA Estudiantes	18	7	5	6	14:15	26
9	Godoy Cruz	19	6	7	6	19:17	25
10	San Miguel	18	5	9	4	16:19	24
11	Defensores de Belgrano	19	5	8	6	14:17	23
12	San Telmo	18	4	8	6	14:16	20
13	Racing Cordoba	18	5	5	8	16:21	20
14	All Boys	18	4	7	7	11:18	19
15	Central Norte	18	4	6	8	11:16	18
16	Acassuso	18	5	3	10	12:19	18
17	CA Mitre	18	3	8	7	18:23	17
18	Chaco For Ever	18	2	6	10	13:24	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	18	11	3	4	30:20	36
2	Atletico Atlanta	19	10	3	6	24:15	33
3	Tristan Suarez	19	7	9	3	16:11	30
4	Temperley	19	7	9	3	19:17	30
5	Atl. Rafaela	19	7	6	6	14:13	27
6	Midland	18	7	5	6	19:14	26
7	Nueva Chicago	18	6	7	5	17:16	25
8	Almagro	19	7	4	8	16:19	25
9	Quilmes	19	6	6	7	18:15	24
10	Gimnasia y Tiro	19	6	6	7	18:20	24
11	San Martin S.J.	17	6	5	6	18:18	23
12	San Martin T.	18	5	8	5	15:15	23
13	Colegiales	19	6	5	8	18:19	23
14	Deportivo Maipu	18	6	4	8	22:20	22
15	Patronato	18	4	9	5	12:15	21
16	Chacarita Juniors	18	5	4	9	14:20	19
17	Club Atletico Guemes	19	5	4	10	18:32	19
18	Agropecuario	18	4	6	8	14:22	18