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Colegios Diocesanos vs Atletico Tordesillas

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colegios Diocesanos play Atletico Tordesillas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 8. It looks like a close match. Recently, Colegios Diocesanos averaged 1 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Atletico Tordesillas averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, Colegios Diocesanos won 1, Atletico Tordesillas won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 11, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Colegios Diocesanos and 2.19 for Atletico Tordesillas. This points to a Atletico Tordesillas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Colegios Diocesanos
20%
Draws
54%
Atletico Tordesillas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Tordesillas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Colegios Diocesanos picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Tordesillas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Tordesillas Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colegios Diocesanos Atletico Tordesillas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 23
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Atletico Tordesillas
3:2
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Colegios Diocesanos
0:0
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Colegios Diocesanos
2:2
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Atletico Tordesillas
0:1
Apr 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Colegios Diocesanos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colegios Diocesanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Sola Garcia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mayorga S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Atletico Tordesillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Velazquez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de la Fuente S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colegios Diocesanos 25 / 100
Atletico Tordesillas 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colegios Diocesanos Atletico Tordesillas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Tordesillas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Atletico Tordesillas & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colegios Diocesanos attacking → ← attacking Atletico Tordesillas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colegios Diocesanos scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Tordesillas let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Colegios Diocesanos went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Tordesillas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 73
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Tordesillas34246462:2478
2Guijuelo34217654:2670
3Palencia CA34215848:2468
4Palencia CF342041059:3964
5Santa Marta Tormes34188853:3162
6Mansilles341512731:2757
7Almazan3412121049:3848
8Mirandes B341381343:3547
9La Virgen341281431:3744
10Villaralbo341191429:3742
11Leonesa B341261638:4342
12Arandina349101532:4637
13Colegios Diocesanos341061833:5436
14Bembibre348101638:5234
15Unionistas de Salamanca B346131532:4331
16CD Mojados347101728:5531
17Becerril34781941:6029
18Numancia B34662226:5624