Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
Hamilton B.
49'
49'
Connolly M.
65'
65'
Patching W.
AI Match Summary
Coleraine in this Irish Cup tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coleraine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Coleraine have won more games recently than Crusaders.
- Coleraine are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Coleraine have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Coleraine, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Coleraine have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 19%
Crusaders Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coleraine | Crusaders |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Crusaders
5:1
Jan 9, 2026 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Crusaders
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Coleraine
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Crusaders vs Coleraine
0:4
May 7, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Crusaders
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coleraine Compare
Top Goalscorer Connolly M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Patching W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Crusaders Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coleraine 36 / 100
Crusaders 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coleraine Crusaders
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Coleraine found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Crusaders let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Coleraine went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Coleraine VS Crusaders
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Coleraine
(Home) 23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0 Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portadown
14 Jul
Sligo Rovers
1 : 2 Coleraine
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5 Coleraine
11 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portstewart
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portadown
11 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0 Portstewart
04 Jul
Coleraine
1 : 1 Harland & Wolff
25 Apr
Coleraine
6 : 2 Glentoran
11 Apr
Coleraine
6 : 2 Cliftonville
Page 1 of 3
Crusaders
(Away) 28 Jul
Crusaders
1 : 1 Newington FC
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1 Crusaders
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0 Glenavon
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0 Ballinamallard
11 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0 Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Moyola
2 : 1 Crusaders
04 Jul
Queen of the South
1 : 2 Crusaders
28 Apr
Annagh
2 : 3 Crusaders
18 Apr
Glenavon
0 : 1 Crusaders
28 Mar
Carrick Rangers
6 : 1 Crusaders
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
TBD-
Loughgall-
Wakehurst2
Knockbreda4
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
Dungannon-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Newbuildings1
Moyola2
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Comber Rec3
Hanover1
Ballymacash4
Willowbank0
Strabane Athletic2
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Glentoran-
Armagh-
TBD-
Newry City1
Drumaness2
Lisburn Distillery4
Finaghy FC2
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Limavady-
TBD-
Lisburn Rangers5
Dergview4
Linfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Loughgall2
Knockbreda0
Ballinamallard0
Institute3
Cliftonville3
Dundela0
Glenavon4
Newington FC2
Portadown4
Annagh2
Dungannon3
Ards0
Moyola2
Harland & Wolff4
Comber Rec0
Ballymacash3
Strabane Athletic0
Glentoran4
Armagh1
Drumaness4
Lisburn Distillery3
Warrenpoint4
Ballymena1
Larne2
Limavady4
Lisburn Rangers1
Linfield1
Bangor FC0
Carrick Rangers5
Queens University1
Coleraine4
Crusaders0
1/8-finals
Loughgall2
Institute1
Cliftonville2
Glenavon1
Portadown1
Dungannon2
Harland & Wolff3
Ballymacash0
Glentoran5
Drumaness0
Warrenpoint0
Larne2
Limavady1
Linfield0
Carrick Rangers1
Coleraine4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall0
Cliftonville3
Dungannon3
Harland & Wolff0
Glentoran1
Larne2
Limavady0
Coleraine2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
Larne1
Coleraine2
Final
Dungannon2
Coleraine3
