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Collado Villalba vs Leganes B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Osei D.
46' Event
Bachiller I.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Collado Villalba
30%
Draws
41%
Leganes B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leganes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Leganes B haven't matched Collado Villalba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Leganes B's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 15%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Collado Villalba Leganes B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Leganes B
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Collado Villalba
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Collado Villalba
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs Leganes B
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Collado Villalba Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Leganes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Osei D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Collado Villalba 23 / 100
Leganes B 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Collado Villalba Leganes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leganes B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Collado Villalba scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Leganes B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Collado Villalba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leganes B
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Collado Villalba

(Home)
11 May
Collado Villalba
0 : 1
Galapagar
04 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Collado Villalba
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
16 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1
Collado Villalba
12 Apr
Collado Villalba
1 : 2
Parla
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Leganes B

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RSD Alcala 34 23 6 5 68:32 75
2 Rayo Vallecano B 34 18 7 9 71:52 61
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 7 10 55:48 58
4 Villaverde San Andres 34 14 12 8 52:37 54
5 Galapagar 34 14 12 8 45:41 54
6 CD Las Rozas 34 15 9 10 45:42 54
7 Collado Villalba 34 14 10 10 44:36 52
8 Leganes B 34 13 12 9 58:38 51
9 Alcorcon B 34 13 8 13 55:50 47
10 Trival Valderas 34 12 10 12 47:47 46
11 Tres Cantos 34 12 9 13 43:44 45
12 Mexico 34 11 9 14 35:49 42
13 Carabanchel 34 10 12 12 30:29 42
14 Parla 34 10 8 16 38:58 38
15 Cala Pozuelo 34 10 8 16 42:51 38
16 Aravaca CF 34 9 8 17 42:52 35
17 Canillas 34 5 8 21 36:68 23
18 El Alamo 34 5 7 22 29:61 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)