Sport Picks
Collado Villalba vs RSD Alcala Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 
Match Events
5'
5'
Gonzalez I.
21'
21'
Garcia A.
27'
27'
Alonso Moran J.
AI Match Summary
Collado Villalba in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Collado Villalba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RSD Alcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to RSD Alcala lately — more wins on the board than Collado Villalba.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on RSD Alcala taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 17%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Collado Villalba | RSD Alcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs RSD Alcala
3:2
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Collado Villalba
1:2
Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Collado Villalba
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Collado Villalba vs RSD Alcala
1:2
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Collado Villalba
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Collado Villalba Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alonso Moran J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
RSD Alcala Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Collado Villalba 23 / 100
RSD Alcala 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Collado Villalba RSD Alcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Collado Villalba found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Collado Villalba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
RSD Alcala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 34 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS RSD Alcala
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Collado Villalba
(Home) 11 May
Collado Villalba
0 : 1 Galapagar
04 May
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2 Aravaca CF
16 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1 Collado Villalba
12 Apr
Collado Villalba
1 : 2 Parla
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Collado Villalba
0 : 1 Galapagar
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2 Aravaca CF
12 Apr
Collado Villalba
1 : 2 Parla
30 Mar
Collado Villalba
0 : 0 CD Las Rozas
16 Mar
Collado Villalba
1 : 0 Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 3
RSD Alcala
(Away) 27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0 RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2 Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1 RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
29 Aug
RSD Alcala
2 : 1 Real Avila
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0 RSD Alcala
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1 RSD Alcala
26 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 0 RSD Alcala
12 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 2 RSD Alcala
29 Mar
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 2 RSD Alcala
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 68:32 | 75 |
| 2 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 71:52 | 61 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 55:48 | 58 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 52:37 | 54 |
| 5 | Galapagar | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 45:41 | 54 |
| 6 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 45:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Collado Villalba | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 44:36 | 52 |
| 8 | Leganes B | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 58:38 | 51 |
| 9 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 55:50 | 47 |
| 10 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Mexico | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 35:49 | 42 |
| 13 | Carabanchel | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 14 | Parla | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:58 | 38 |
| 15 | Cala Pozuelo | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Aravaca CF | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 42:52 | 35 |
| 17 | Canillas | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:68 | 23 |
| 18 | El Alamo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 29:61 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
