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College Corinthians vs Tolka

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2013
Sat, Jun 8, 2013
3 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

87'
Swan R.
100' Event
Kra J.
115' Event
Heffernan W.

AI Match Summary

College Corinthians in this FAI Cup 2013 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
College Corinthians
15%
Draws
42%
Tolka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: College Corinthians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tolka lately — more wins on the board than College Corinthians.
  • Model gives Tolka a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Tolka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor College Corinthians, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
College Corinthians Clean Sheet 17%
Tolka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric College Corinthians Tolka
Matches Played 15 17
Wins 4 6
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2013 FAI Cup
College Corinthians vs Tolka
3:0
May 31, 2013 FAI Cup
Tolka vs College Corinthians
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

College Corinthians Compare

Top Goalscorer Kra J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Heffernan W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tolka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

College Corinthians 28 / 100
Tolka 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
College Corinthians Tolka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: College Corinthians scored in 60% of their last 15 outings.

Away concern: Tolka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

College Corinthians VS Tolka
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

College Corinthians

(Home)
15 Aug
College Corinthians
0 : 3
Drogheda
18 Jul
Bangor Celtic
4 : 5
College Corinthians
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1
Killester Donnycarney
17 May
College Corinthians
1 : 2
Bangor Celtic
18 May
College Corinthians
4 : 5
Cobh Wanderers
Page 1 of 3

Tolka

(Away)
19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0
Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3
Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0
Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1
Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Pike Rovers 3
Everton AFC 1
TBD -
Longford -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
Carew Park 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandon -
Tolka 2
Bangor Celtic 1
Newbridge Town 1
College Corinthians 2
Limerick -
TBD -
Beggsboro 2
Glenville 3
Phoenix 1
St. Marys 0
TBD -
Dundalk -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Kilbarrack Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Athlone -
Blarney Utd 3
Parkvilla 2
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Mervue United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Sheriff YC 3
Leixlip United 1
TBD -
Avondale United -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
1/16-finals
Drogheda 3
Bohemians 0
Pike Rovers 0
Longford 4
Cobh Ramblers 4
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shelbourne 3
Bandon 0
Tolka 2
College Corinthians 5
Limerick 3
Glenville 0
Phoenix 0
Dundalk 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Waterford 0
Kilbarrack Utd 1
Cork City 3
Bluebell Utd 5
Athlone 4
Blarney Utd 0
Derry City 4
St. Patricks 4
UC Dublin 0
Mervue United 0
Bray 2
Sheriff YC 2
Avondale United 1
Salthill 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
1/8-finals
Drogheda 3
Longford 2
Cobh Ramblers 1
Finn Harps 5
Shelbourne 1
College Corinthians 0
Limerick 3
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Bluebell Utd 1
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 3
Bray 0
Sheriff YC 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Quarter-finals
Drogheda 3
Finn Harps 1
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 5
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 0
Shamrock Rovers 2
Semi-finals
Drogheda 1
Dundalk 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Shamrock Rovers 0
Final
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 3