Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colney Heath vs Harefield United

England England

FA Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harefield United in this FA Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Colney Heath
20%
Draws
64%
Harefield United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harefield United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harefield United lately — more wins on the board than Colney Heath.
  • Harefield United are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Harefield United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Harefield United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Colney Heath Clean Sheet 14%
Harefield United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colney Heath Harefield United
Matches Played 10 13
Wins 2 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2012 FA Cup
Colney Heath vs Harefield United
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colney Heath 23 / 100
Harefield United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colney Heath Harefield United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harefield United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harefield United let in goals in 85% of their last 13 matches.

Colney Heath scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Harefield United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colney Heath VS Harefield United
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colney Heath

(Home)
22 Jul
Broadfields United
1 : 1
Colney Heath
09 Oct
Colney Heath
2 : 5
Basildon
04 Sept
Colney Heath
0 : 4
Ware
07 Sept
Colney Heath
1 : 3
Corby
19 Sept
Burgess Hill
3 : 0
Colney Heath
Page 1 of 2

Harefield United

(Away)
14 Sept
Hastings
1 : 0
Harefield United
03 Sept
Lewes
0 : 1
Harefield United
31 Aug
Harefield United
1 : 1
Lewes
04 Sept
Harefield United
0 : 4
Hastings
03 Sept
Kempston
3 : 2
Harefield United
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cambridge Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luton -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley 2
Worksop 0
Nantwich 0
Chorley 2
West Auckland Town 3
Ashington 2
TBD -
Harrogate -
United of Manchester 5
Cammell Laird 0
Lancaster 0
Salford 4
Witton Albion 4
Burscough 2
Dunston 5
Kendal 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hereford -
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Guiseley -
TBD -
Bootle 1
Bamber Bridge 2
Warrington Town 1
Maine Road 0
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Hednesford 3
Redditch 0
Dudley 0
Nuneaton Griff 1
Stamford 2
Holbeach 1
Quorn 1
Buxton 2
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Kidderminster -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
Maltby 1
Curzon Ashton 8
New Mills 2
Retford United 1
Rainworth 3
Carlton Town 5
Hinckley -
TBD -
Wolverhampton Casuals 3
Tividale 5
North Ferriby United 2
Eccleshill United 0
Farsley 1
Ossett Albion 2
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
AFC Fylde 3
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Bedlington 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Westfields 5
Norton United 2
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Gresley 6
Thurnby 3
Stourport 2
Stafford 3
Belper Town 3
Matlock 0
Coalville Town 0
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Boston United -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town 0
Kettering 3
Skelmersdale 1
Clitheroe 0
Holker Old Boys 0
Tadcaster Albion 3
Leek Town 5
Bewdley Town 0
Rushall 1
Bridgnorth Town 3
Shildon 3
Durham 1
TBD -
Altrincham -
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Abbey Hey 2
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trafford 4
Runcorn F.C. 0
South Shields 0
Spennymoor 2
Ashton United 3
Prescot Cables 1
Stocksbridge 0
Marine 3
Workington -
TBD -
Garforth 0
Blyth Spartans 1
Bedworth United 2
Rugby 1
Wulfrunians 0
Barwell 3
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mansfield -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Ossett Town 1
TBD -
Droylsden -
Vauxhall -
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Stalybridge -
Telford -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Nuneaton -
South Park 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Colney Heath 1
Harefield United 2
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Soham 0
Wroxham 0
Brentwood 5
Dereham 4
Bugbrooke 1
Market Drayton 2
Chasetown 3
Berkhamsted Town 4
Uxbridge 3
Beckenham Town 1
Metropolitan Police 7
Didcot 1
Windsor & Eton 0
Sherborne Town 0
Clevedon 5
Bognor Regis 4
Epsom 0
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Brackley -
TBD -
King’s Lynn 3
Daventry 4
Dulwich Hamlet 5
Godalming Town 4
Barton 0
Arlesey 1
Forest Green -
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Dartford -
Yate 2
Winchester City 1
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Oxford City -
Havant & Waterlooville -
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Wantage 1
North Leigh 6
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Newport -
Hastings 3
Chatham 1
TBD -
Staines -
Whitehawk 5
Sittingbourne 0
Ware 0
Hitchin 5
Sholing 4
Melksham 0
Gillingham Town 3
Taunton Town 1
Fareham 2
Christchurch 1
Almondsbury UWE 0
Blackfield & Langley 4
Bromley -
TBD -
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Sutton -
Tonbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Larkhall 0
Frome Town 4
Gornal 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
TBD -
Worcester -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Leatherhead 3
Thamesmead 2
Worthing FC 0
Greenwich Borough 0
Cray Wanderers 1
Maidstone 4
Chipstead 0
Norwich Utd 1
Grays 2
Kingstonian 3
Guildford City 0
FC Witham Town 0
East Thurrock Utd 2
AFC Totton 6
Swindon Supermarine 0
TBD -
Truro -
Hungerford 3
Banbury 1
Cinderford Town 1
Merthyr Town 4
Billericay -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Grantham Town 5
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Huntingdon 0
Cambridge City 7
Welling -
TBD -
Needham Market 0
Concord Rangers 1
Horsham FC 1
VCD Athletic 0
Basildon 0
Thurrock 3
Chalfont St Peter 3
Newport Pagnell 2
Pagham 0
Carshalton 3
Enfield Town 2
Margaretsbury 0
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Stortford -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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St. Albans 3
Harrow Borough 1
Dunstable Town 2
Ashford Town 5
Wealdstone 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Tilbury 0
Lowestoft 2
Dorchester -
TBD -
Highworth 1
Wootton 3
Weymouth 5
Totton & Eling 2
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Hampton & Richmond 3
Kempston 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Walthamstow FC 5
Wingate & Finchley 4
Royston Town 3
Canvey Island 0
Bury Town 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Marlow 1
Thatcham 3
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Badshot Lea 3
Folkestone 2
Southend Manor 1
Leiston 5
Bishops Cleeve 6
Bracknell Town 0
Mangotsfield 1
Chippenham Town 3
Corby -
TBD -
Stourbridge 3
Leamington 4
Eastwood 4
Blaby & Whetstone 2
TBD -
Histon -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Bedford 0
Waltham Abbey 1
Lewes 3
Redhill 1
Potters 1
Hendon 4
Woking -
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Ebbsfleet -
Slough Town 4
Lingfield 1
Littlehampton 0
Eastbourne Town 1
Aveley 6
Hadleigh 1
Faversham 0
Margate 3
Bath City -
TBD -
Plymouth Parkway 3
Buckland 7
Bideford 5
Bodmin Town 4
Bashley 3
Gosport Borough 4
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
Sudbury 1
Heybridge 4
Newport Isle of Wight 2
Horndean 0
TBD -
Salisbury -
Northwood 1
Chesham 0
London Lions 2
AFC Dunstable 4
Neots 5
Peterborough Northern Star 0
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Quarter-finals
Cambridge Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Luton -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley 3
Chorley 1
West Auckland Town 3
Harrogate 7
United of Manchester 3
Salford 2
Witton Albion 2
Kendal 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hereford -
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Guiseley 1
Bamber Bridge 0
Warrington Town 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Hednesford 3
Nuneaton Griff 2
Stamford 1
Buxton 3
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Bradford PA 3
Curzon Ashton 1
New Mills 3
Carlton Town 4
Hinckley 5
Tividale 3
North Ferriby United 1
Ossett Albion 2
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
AFC Fylde 2
Bishop Auckland 1
Westfields 2
Solihull Moors 3
Gresley 3
Stafford 2
Belper Town 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 7
Boston United 1
Kettering 0
Skelmersdale 1
Tadcaster Albion 4
Leek Town 3
Bridgnorth Town 0
Shildon 0
Altrincham 3
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester 3
Gainsborough 2
Abbey Hey 0
Halifax 6
Macclesfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trafford 5
Spennymoor 3
Ashton United 0
Marine 2
Workington 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Bedworth United 2
Barwell 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mansfield -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby 4
Droylsden 3
Vauxhall 0
Stalybridge 1
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nuneaton -
South Park 4
Harefield United 1
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Brentwood 3
Dereham 2
Chasetown 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Didcot 3
Clevedon 1
Bognor Regis 2
Maidenhead 4
Brackley 4
Daventry 0
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Arlesey 1
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Yate 2
Oxford City 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
North Leigh 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport -
Hastings 3
Staines 2
Whitehawk 1
Hitchin 6
Sholing 3
Gillingham Town 1
Fareham 0
Blackfield & Langley 2
Bromley 1
Sutton 0
Tonbridge 1
Dover Ath. 2
Weston-super-Mare 2
Frome Town 0
Gornal 0
Worcester 4
Chelmsford 2
Leatherhead 1
Thamesmead 1
Cray Wanderers 3
Maidstone 5
Grays 0
Kingstonian 2
East Thurrock Utd 3
AFC Totton 3
Truro 2
Hungerford 1
Merthyr Town 2
Billericay 3
Hornchurch 1
Grantham Town 1
Cambridge City 3
Welling 3
Concord Rangers 2
Horsham FC 1
Thurrock 2
Chalfont St Peter 1
Carshalton 0
Enfield Town 1
Stortford 4
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Albans 6
Ashford Town 2
Wealdstone 1
Lowestoft 2
Dorchester 4
Wootton 0
Weymouth 1
Basingstoke 3
Hampton & Richmond 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Bury Town 2
Gloucester City 2
Thatcham 1
Farnborough 1
Eastleigh 2
Badshot Lea 4
Leiston 2
Bishops Cleeve 1
Chippenham Town 2
Corby 3
Leamington 2
Eastwood 3
Histon 5
Eastbourne Borough 4
Waltham Abbey 2
Lewes 0
Hendon 3
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Slough Town 5
Eastbourne Town 1
Aveley 1
Margate 4
Bath City 2
Buckland 1
Bideford 0
Gosport Borough 2
Hayes & Yeading 3
Heybridge 2
Newport Isle of Wight 0
Salisbury 3
Northwood 4
AFC Dunstable 1
Neots 1
Boreham Wood 2
Semi-finals
Cambridge Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Luton -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Hyde -
TBD -
Frickley 2
Harrogate 3
United of Manchester 3
Kendal 1
TBD -
Hereford -
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Guiseley 4
Colwyn Bay 2
Hednesford 3
Buxton 4
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Bradford PA 3
Carlton Town 1
Hinckley 2
Ossett Albion 3
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
AFC Fylde 4
Solihull Moors 1
Gresley 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 4
Boston United 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
Leek Town 0
Altrincham 2
Lincoln City -
TBD -
Chester 2
Halifax 4
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Trafford 1
Marine 3
Workington 3
Barwell 1
TBD -
Mansfield -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Whitby 1
Stalybridge 3
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Nuneaton -
South Park 3
Brentwood 1
Dereham 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Didcot 1
Maidenhead 0
Brackley 3
Arlesey 4
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Yate 2
North Leigh 1
TBD -
Newport -
Hastings 4
Hitchin 3
Sholing 1
Blackfield & Langley 3
Bromley 2
Dover Ath. 1
Weston-super-Mare 1
Worcester 2
Chelmsford 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Maidstone 0
East Thurrock Utd 3
AFC Totton 3
Merthyr Town 2
Billericay 3
Cambridge City 5
Welling 4
Thurrock 2
Chalfont St Peter 2
Stortford 4
Braintree -
TBD -
St. Albans 0
Lowestoft 1
Dorchester 1
Basingstoke 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Bury Town 4
Gloucester City 1
Eastleigh 0
Badshot Lea 1
Chippenham Town 3
Corby 3
Histon 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Hendon 4
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Slough Town 1
Margate 0
Bath City 2
Gosport Borough 4
Hayes & Yeading 2
Salisbury 1
Northwood 0
Boreham Wood 4
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Cambridge Utd 0
Luton 2
Alfreton 2
Gateshead 0
Hyde 1
Harrogate 2
United of Manchester 0
Hereford 2
Barrow 2
Tamworth 0
Guiseley 2
Buxton 0
Grimsby 2
Kidderminster 4
Bradford PA 4
Ossett Albion 1
Wrexham 2
Southport 0
AFC Fylde 2
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Boston United 1
Altrincham 3
Lincoln City 2
Halifax 0
Macclesfield 3
Marine 1
Workington 1
Mansfield 2
Stockport County 5
Stalybridge 3
Telford 2
Nuneaton 3
South Park 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Didcot 0
Arlesey 1
Forest Green 5
Dartford 2
Yate 6
Newport 4
Hastings 3
Blackfield & Langley 0
Bromley 1
Worcester 0
Chelmsford 7
East Thurrock Utd 6
AFC Totton 2
Cambridge City 3
Welling 1
Stortford 3
Braintree 3
Lowestoft 2
Dorchester 3
Bury Town 1
Gloucester City 1
Chippenham Town 0
Corby 1
Hendon 2
Woking 0
Ebbsfleet 1
Slough Town 2
Gosport Borough 1
Hayes & Yeading 2
Boreham Wood 3