Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colombia U17 vs Brazil U17

South America South America

South American Championship U17 2025 Estadio Jaime Morón León, Cartagena
Sun, Apr 13, 2025
1 - 2
12:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Florez C.
41' Event
Sevillano J.
Assist: Londono S.
45'
Luis Gustavo

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Brazil U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Colombia U17
15%
Draws
47%
Brazil U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brazil U17 come out ahead of Colombia U17 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Brazil U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brazil U17, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brazil U17 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Colombia U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Brazil U17 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U17 Brazil U17
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 24
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.3 2.35
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 South American Championship U17
Brazil U17 vs Colombia U17
0:3
Apr 13, 2025 South American Championship U17
Colombia U17 vs Brazil U17
1:2
Apr 4, 2023 South American Championship U17
Brazil U17 vs Colombia U17
3:1
Mar 29, 2019 South American Championship U17
Brazil U17 vs Colombia U17
3:2
Mar 17, 2017 South American Championship U17
Brazil U17 vs Colombia U17
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sevillano J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Brazil U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelo Candido
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U17 31 / 100
Brazil U17 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U17 Brazil U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Colombia U17 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Colombia U17 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Brazil U17 has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U17 VS Brazil U17
1.67 Goals Scored 2.13
0.33 Goals Conceded 0.63
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U17

(Home)
19 Apr
Argentina U17
0 : 4
Colombia U17
16 Apr
Brazil U17
0 : 3
Colombia U17
12 Apr
Paraguay U17
0 : 2
Colombia U17
09 Apr
Colombia U17
0 : 2
Uruguay U17
07 Apr
Colombia U17
1 : 0
Chile U17
Page 1 of 6

Brazil U17

(Away)
23 Aug
Brazil U17
3 : 0
Venezuela U17
20 Aug
Brazil U17
2 : 1
Venezuela U17
10 Jun
Brazil U17
1 : 0
USA U17
07 Jun
Brazil U17
4 : 0
USA U17
19 Apr
Ecuador U17
0 : 1
Brazil U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Colombia U17 5
Venezuela U17 1
Brazil U17 1
Chile U17 0
Final
Colombia U17 1
Brazil U17 2
Venezuela U17 3
Chile U17 0