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Colombia U21 vs Venezuela U21

World World

Central American & Caribbean Games 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gutierez J.
Own Goal
32' Event
Castro L.
35' Event
Orozco Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Colombia U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Colombia U21
15%
Draws
54%
Venezuela U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Venezuela U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombia U21 haven't matched Venezuela U21's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Venezuela U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Colombia U21, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Colombia U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Colombia U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Venezuela U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia U21 Venezuela U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 22
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.7 2.28
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Central American & Caribbean Games
Colombia U21 vs Venezuela U21
0:1
Aug 1, 2018 Central American & Caribbean Games
Colombia U21 vs Venezuela U21
2:1
Jul 29, 2006 Central American & Caribbean Games
Colombia U21 vs Venezuela U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Venezuela U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Orozco Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia U21 36 / 100
Venezuela U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia U21 Venezuela U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venezuela U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colombia U21 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Colombia U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Venezuela U21 has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colombia U21 VS Venezuela U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia U21

(Home)
07 Aug
Panama U21
2 : 1
Colombia U21
06 Aug
Colombia U21
0 : 1
Venezuela U21
03 Aug
Costa Rica U21
1 : 1
Colombia U21
01 Aug
Colombia U21
1 : 0
Cuba U21
30 Jul
Panama U21
0 : 1
Colombia U21
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Venezuela U21

(Away)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
06 Aug
Colombia U21
0 : 1
Venezuela U21
03 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
01 Aug
Venezuela U21
3 : 1
Guatemala U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Colombia U21 3
Haiti U21 1
Venezuela U21 1
Honduras U21 0
Final
Colombia U21 2
Venezuela U21 1
Haiti U21 0
Honduras U21 3