Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Colombia W vs Peru W

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Santos L.
(Penalty)
14'
Carabali J.
46'
Sub
Pavi M. In: Restrepo M.
Out: Pavi M.

AI Match Summary

Colombia W in this CONMEBOL Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colombia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Colombia W
20%
Draws
38%
Peru W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Colombia W have won more games recently than Peru W.
  • Model gives Colombia W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CONMEBOL Nations League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colombia W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Colombia W Clean Sheet 68%
Peru W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colombia W Peru W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Colombia W vs Peru W
4:1
Apr 7, 2019 Friendly International Women
Peru W vs Colombia W
0:4
Apr 4, 2019 Friendly International Women
Peru W vs Colombia W
1:2
Apr 10, 2018 Copa América Women
Colombia W vs Peru W
3:0
Sep 19, 2014 Copa América Women
Colombia W vs Peru W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colombia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Montoya D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Peru W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colombia W 77 / 100
Peru W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colombia W Peru W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peru W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Colombia W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Colombia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colombia W VS Peru W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Colombia W

(Home)
07 Aug
Colombia W
1 : 2
Mexico W
04 Aug
Venezuela W
2 : 3
Colombia W
02 Aug
Puerto Rico W
0 : 3
Colombia W
31 Jul
Colombia W
0 : 1
Mexico W
29 Jul
Jamaica W
0 : 5
Colombia W
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Peru W

(Away)
09 Jun
Peru W
4 : 0
Bolivia W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Ecuador W
1 : 0
Peru W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
10 Apr
Peru W
2 : 1
Uruguay W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)