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Colomiers vs Stade Montois

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National 2 - Group D 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group D 2021/2022 game between Colomiers and Stade Montois finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Colomiers
35%
Draws
32%
Stade Montois
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colomiers come out ahead of Stade Montois on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Colomiers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Colomiers Clean Sheet 14%
Stade Montois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colomiers Stade Montois
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 1
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 National 2 - Group D
Stade Montois vs Colomiers
0:1
Dec 18, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Colomiers vs Stade Montois
1:1
Jan 30, 2021 National 2 - Group D
Stade Montois vs Colomiers
0:0
Sep 2, 2020 National 2 - Group D
Colomiers vs Stade Montois
0:0
Apr 13, 2019 National 1 - Group B
Stade Montois vs Colomiers
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colomiers 39 / 100
Stade Montois 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colomiers Stade Montois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colomiers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stade Montois conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Colomiers's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Colomiers stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Colomiers VS Stade Montois
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Colomiers

(Home)
16 Nov
SA Merignac
1 : 0
Colomiers
16 Nov
Colomiers
2 : 3
Vierzon Foot
07 Aug
Bergerac
1 : 1
Colomiers
19 Nov
Colomiers
0 : 1
Pau
30 Oct
Agde
2 : 3
Colomiers
Page 1 of 7

Stade Montois

(Away)
28 May
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Canet Roussillon
21 May
Nantes II
2 : 2
Stade Montois
14 May
Stade Montois
0 : 1
Colomiers
30 Apr
Andrezieux
3 : 3
Stade Montois
23 Apr
Stade Montois
2 : 2
Chamalieres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Puy-en-Velay 30 18 7 5 40:17 61
2 Bergerac 30 17 9 4 38:16 60
3 Bourges 18 30 17 5 8 46:25 56
4 Andrezieux 30 15 6 9 43:30 51
5 Angouleme CFC 30 13 10 7 33:25 49
6 Beziers 30 13 8 9 45:36 47
7 Moulins-Yzeure 30 11 11 8 33:28 44
8 Canet Roussillon 30 14 6 10 35:36 37
9 Les Herbiers 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
10 Trelissac 30 9 8 13 27:34 35
11 Nantes II 30 8 10 12 33:37 34
12 Angers II 30 7 12 11 27:32 33
13 Chamalieres 30 8 8 14 30:41 32
14 Montpellier II 30 8 6 16 33:44 30
15 Colomiers 30 6 9 15 30:46 27
16 Stade Montois 30 1 7 22 24:67 10
Promotion - National 2022/2023 (Main)