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Stadium Background

Colon Santa Fe vs San Telmo Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López, Santa Fe
Colon Santa Fe Logo

Colon Santa Fe

1 - 0
FT
San Telmo Logo

San Telmo

Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Diaz E.
26'
Sub
Roncaglia F. In: Paredes G.
Out: Roncaglia F.
41'
Pollacchi L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colon Santa Fe in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colon Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Colon Santa Fe
20%
Draws
40%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Colon Santa Fe have won more games recently than San Telmo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • San Telmo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colon Santa Fe San Telmo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.23 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs San Telmo
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Colon Santa Fe
3:1
Aug 16, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs Colon Santa Fe
1:0
Apr 14, 2025 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs San Telmo
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe vs San Telmo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lago I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

San Telmo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colon Santa Fe 41 / 100
San Telmo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colon Santa Fe San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colon Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Colon Santa Fe scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Colon Santa Fe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

San Telmo let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Colon Santa Fe VS San Telmo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Colon Santa Fe

(Home)
03 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
26 Sept
All Boys
0 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
20 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0
Los Andes
13 Sept
Godoy Cruz
2 : 0
Colon Santa Fe
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2
Deportivo Moron
Page 1 of 6

San Telmo

(Away)
27 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 2
San Telmo
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0
San Telmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 32 18 7 7 36:27 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Deportivo Madryn 32 14 11 7 46:28 53
4 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)