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Colonia Moscardo vs Siello

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Penarando M.
60' Event
Parri
82' Event
Mena Mugica J.

AI Match Summary

Colonia Moscardo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colonia Moscardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Colonia Moscardo
20%
Draws
34%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colonia Moscardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Siello have won more games recently than Colonia Moscardo.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Colonia Moscardo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 68%
Siello Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colonia Moscardo Siello
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Siello
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colonia Moscardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Parri
2 Goals
Assists Leader Penarando M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Val A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colonia Moscardo 86 / 100
Siello 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colonia Moscardo Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Colonia Moscardo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Siello's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Colonia Moscardo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colonia Moscardo VS Siello
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Colonia Moscardo

(Home)
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0
Colonia Moscardo
26 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
0 : 0
Navalcarnero
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Siello

(Away)
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1
Siello
13 Sept
Siello
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
10 May
Siello
3 : 0
Carabanchel
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5
Siello
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 CD Las Rozas 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 CD Mostoles 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Leganes B 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
5 Galapagar 3 1 2 0 7:4 5
6 RC Alcobendas 3 1 2 0 7:4 5
7 Union Adarve 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
8 Trival Valderas 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
9 CP Parla Escuela 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 CF Fuenlabrada 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
12 Cala Pozuelo 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
13 AD Torrejon 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 San Sebastian Reyes B 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
15 Mexico 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Rayo Vallecano B 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
17 Real Aranjuez 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
18 Siello 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)