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Colonia Moscardo vs Siello - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Penarando M.
60' Event
Parri
82' Event
Mena Mugica J.

AI Match Summary

Colonia Moscardo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colonia Moscardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Colonia Moscardo
35%
Draws
24%
Siello
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colonia Moscardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Colonia Moscardo average 1.48 goals a game right now, well clear of Siello's 1.07.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Colonia Moscardo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 68%
Siello Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colonia Moscardo Siello
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Colonia Moscardo vs Siello
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colonia Moscardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Parri
2 Goals
Assists Leader Penarando M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Siello Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Val A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colonia Moscardo 95 / 100
Siello 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colonia Moscardo Siello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Colonia Moscardo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Colonia Moscardo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Siello has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Colonia Moscardo VS Siello
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Colonia Moscardo

(Home)
08 Nov
Leganes B
2 : 2
Colonia Moscardo
31 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
25 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
18 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
10 Oct
Real Aranjuez
1 : 1
Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 6

Siello

(Away)
08 Nov
Pozuelo de Alarcon
0 : 1
Siello
01 Nov
Siello
1 : 4
CP Parla Escuela
25 Oct
Siello
1 : 6
CD Mostoles
18 Oct
Union Adarve
4 : 0
Siello
11 Oct
Siello
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 10 7 2 1 24:7 23
2 Colonia Moscardo 10 4 6 0 20:10 18
3 CD Las Rozas 10 5 3 2 22:17 18
4 Galapagar 10 5 3 2 21:16 18
5 Cala Pozuelo 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
6 Union Adarve 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Leganes B 10 4 3 3 21:14 15
8 Trival Valderas 10 3 6 1 15:12 15
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 10 4 3 3 14:17 15
10 AD Torrejon 10 4 2 4 17:10 14
11 CF Fuenlabrada 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 CP Parla Escuela 10 2 4 4 15:19 10
13 Real Aranjuez 10 2 4 4 15:21 10
14 Rayo Vallecano B 10 2 3 5 14:19 9
15 RC Alcobendas 10 2 3 5 16:23 9
16 Mexico 10 1 4 5 13:17 7
17 San Sebastian Reyes B 10 2 1 7 14:27 7
18 Siello 10 2 1 7 9:28 7
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)