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Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay

USA USA

USL Championship Weidner Field
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colorado Springs play Monterey Bay in the USL Championship. Colorado Springs are favorites here. Recently, Colorado Springs averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Monterey Bay averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.68 conceded. In past meetings, Colorado Springs won 4, Monterey Bay won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Colorado Springs and 1.44 for Monterey Bay. This points to a Colorado Springs double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Colorado Springs
15%
Draws
25%
Monterey Bay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colorado Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Colorado Springs picked up more points recently compared to Monterey Bay.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 16%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colorado Springs Monterey Bay
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.67 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colorado Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bennett K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Monterey Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Paul I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colorado Springs 57 / 100
Monterey Bay 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colorado Springs Monterey Bay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colorado Springs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Colorado Springs & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colorado Springs attacking → ← attacking Monterey Bay

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Springs scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Monterey Bay let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Colorado Springs went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Monterey Bay lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 25
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1346310:1118
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1244422:1616
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Orange County SC1576223:1627
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
7FC Tulsa1354417:1619
8Lexington1353521:1618
9Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
10Sacramento Republic1244413:1216
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215