Sport Picks
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico
USA
USL Cup Weidner Field, Colorado Springs, CO 
Match Events
15'
15'
Seymore W.
31'
31'
Keller K.
Own Goal
34'
34'
Hanya Y.
Assist: Fjeldberg J.
AI Match Summary
Colorado Springs in this USL Cup tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Colorado Springs lately — more wins on the board than New Mexico.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Colorado Springs have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor New Mexico, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 15%
New Mexico Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colorado Springs | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 USL Cup
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico
4:0
Mar 28, 2026 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Colorado Springs
3:2
Sep 25, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico
1:2
Jun 29, 2025 USL Cup
New Mexico vs Colorado Springs
3:2
Jun 8, 2025 USL Championship
New Mexico vs Colorado Springs
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colorado Springs Compare
Top Goalscorer Hanya Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fjeldberg J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
New Mexico Compare
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colorado Springs 30 / 100
New Mexico 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colorado Springs New Mexico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick COL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Colorado Springs's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: New Mexico conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Colorado Springs remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Colorado Springs VS New Mexico
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Colorado Springs
(Home) 26 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 Charleston
23 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 0 Miami FC
12 Jul
Orange County SC
0 : 3 Colorado Springs
05 Jul
Colorado Springs
3 : 1 Phoenix Rising
25 Jun
Colorado Springs
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 Charleston
23 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 0 Miami FC
05 Jul
Colorado Springs
3 : 1 Phoenix Rising
25 Jun
Colorado Springs
1 : 2 San Antonio FC
14 Jun
Colorado Springs
0 : 1 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 4
New Mexico
(Away) 15 Jul
Lexington
1 : 4 New Mexico
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
05 Jul
New Mexico
2 : 1 Oakland Roots
02 Jul
New Mexico
3 : 3 Atlante
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Lexington
1 : 4 New Mexico
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1 New Mexico
30 May
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0 New Mexico
17 May
Colorado Springs
4 : 0 New Mexico
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spokane Velocity | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Athletic Club Boise | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Oakland Roots | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Las Vegas Lights | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 6 | Monterey Bay | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Springs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 6 | Orange County SC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 2 | Birmingham Legion | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 5 | Corpus Christi FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louisville City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Indy Eleven | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Lexington | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Union Omaha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 6 | Forward Madison | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:12 | 1 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Rhode Island | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Brooklyn FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 5 | New York Cosmos | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Westchester SC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Charleston | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Greenville Triumph | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Loudoun United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 6 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Miami FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Sporting Jax | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Sarasota Paradise | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Naples | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 6 | South Georgia Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams