Sport Picks

Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2

Comercial MS

2 - 1

7 de Setembro

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 game between Comercial MS and 7 de Setembro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comercial MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Comercial MS

30%

Draws

34%

7 de Setembro

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Comercial MS's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what 7 de Setembro have produced (1.17).
Win probability leans Comercial MS's way, sitting at 36%.
Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Comercial MS Clean Sheet 19%

7 de Setembro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Comercial MS	7 de Setembro
Matches Played	34	27
Wins	11	11
Draws	9	6
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Comercial MS vs 7 de Setembro

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Nov 10, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Comercial MS vs 7 de Setembro

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 3 - 0

2:2

Oct 5, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2

7 de Setembro vs Comercial MS

Possession: 60% - 55% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Feb 16, 2019 Sul-Matogrossense

7 de Setembro vs Comercial MS

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Apr 9, 2017 Sul-Matogrossense

Comercial MS vs 7 de Setembro

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 36 / 100

7 de Setembro 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Comercial MS 7 de Setembro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Comercial MS scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

7 de Setembro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Comercial MS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS 7 de Setembro

1.38 Goals Scored 1.17

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33

75% Over 1.5 83%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aquidauanense	4	3	0	1	4:2	9
2	Uniao ABC	4	2	1	1	6:2	7
3	Comercial MS	4	2	1	1	6:4	7
4	Misto	4	2	1	1	5:4	7
5	Esporte Clube Taveiropolis	4	2	0	2	4:3	6
6	7 de Setembro	4	1	1	2	5:6	4
7	Sao Gabriel MS	4	1	1	2	3:5	4
8	EC Campo Grande	4	0	1	3	1:8	1