Sport Picks

Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025

Comercial MS

1 - 2

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esporte Clube Taveiropolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Comercial MS

Draws

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Comercial MS have won more games recently than Esporte Clube Taveiropolis.
Win probability leans Comercial MS's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Comercial MS Clean Sheet 13%

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Comercial MS	Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
Matches Played	33	15
Wins	11	4
Draws	9	0
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	2.13	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Comercial MS vs Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Sep 13, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis vs Comercial MS

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 84 / 100

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Comercial MS Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis let in goals in 80% of their last 15 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Comercial MS found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: Comercial MS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bataguassu	10	7	2	1	27:9	23
2	Clube de Regatas Aquidauana	10	7	2	1	23:7	23
3	Maracaju	10	4	4	2	12:13	16
4	Comercial MS	10	2	4	4	12:17	10
5	Esporte Clube Taveiropolis	10	2	0	8	11:25	6
6	Sao Gabriel MS	10	1	2	7	6:20	5