Sport Picks

Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2

Uniao ABC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial MS play Uniao ABC in the Sul-Matogrossense 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Comercial MS averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Uniao ABC averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Comercial MS won 3, Uniao ABC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 19, 2022 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Comercial MS and 0.83 for Uniao ABC. This points to a Comercial MS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Comercial MS

20%

Draws

30%

Uniao ABC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Comercial MS picked up more points recently compared to Uniao ABC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 0.83 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Comercial MS Clean Sheet 26%

Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Comercial MS	Uniao ABC
Matches Played	33	29
Wins	8	6
Draws	9	3
Losses	16	20
Goals Scored	1.18	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.55	2.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense

Uniao ABC vs Comercial MS

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Feb 3, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense

Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

May 16, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense

Uniao ABC vs Comercial MS

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Apr 29, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense

Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC

Possession: 46% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Apr 11, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense

Uniao ABC vs Comercial MS

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 50 / 100

Uniao ABC 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Comercial MS Uniao ABC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Comercial MS or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Comercial MS attacking → ← attacking Uniao ABC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Uniao ABC let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Comercial MS went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uniao ABC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 21

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.67

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.33

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Misto	2	2	0	0	4:1	6
2	Uniao ABC	2	1	0	1	2:1	3
3	Comercial MS	2	1	0	1	2:2	3
4	Esporte Clube Taveiropolis	2	1	0	1	2:2	3
5	Sao Gabriel MS	2	1	0	1	2:2	3
6	Aquidauanense	2	1	0	1	1:2	3
7	7 de Setembro	2	0	1	1	2:3	1
8	EC Campo Grande	2	0	1	1	1:3	1