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Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

1 - 1
FT
Uniao ABC Logo

Uniao ABC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Comercial MS
35%
Draws
24%
Uniao ABC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Uniao ABC haven't matched Comercial MS's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Comercial MS a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 16%
Uniao ABC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial MS Uniao ABC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.39 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC
1:1
Feb 19, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Comercial MS
1:3
Feb 3, 2022 Sul-Matogrossense
Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC
0:1
May 16, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Uniao ABC vs Comercial MS
2:2
Apr 29, 2021 Sul-Matogrossense
Comercial MS vs Uniao ABC
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 75 / 100
Uniao ABC 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial MS Uniao ABC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Comercial MS's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Uniao ABC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Comercial MS stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS Uniao ABC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.86
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial MS

(Home)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 7

Uniao ABC

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
25 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
7 de Setembro
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
04 Jul
Uniao ABC
3 : 0
EC Campo Grande
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 7 6 0 1 11:4 18
2 Misto 7 4 2 1 9:5 14
3 Comercial MS 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 7 de Setembro 7 3 2 2 12:6 11
5 Uniao ABC 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
6 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
7 Sao Gabriel MS 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 EC Campo Grande 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
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