Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Max Augustin, Iquitos
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Ferreira P.
11'
Falcon L.
22'
Deza J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between Comerciantes FC and Santos FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comerciantes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Comerciantes FC
22%
Draws
18%
Santos FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Comerciantes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Santos FC's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Comerciantes FC have produced (0.88).
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Comerciantes FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes FC Santos FC
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 14 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
3:0
May 25, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
3:2
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comerciantes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Santos FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes FC 68 / 100
Santos FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes FC Santos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comerciantes FC found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Santos FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Comerciantes FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes FC VS Santos FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Comerciantes FC

(Home)
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
18 Jul
Sport Huancayo 2
1 : 1
Comerciantes FC
11 Jul
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
27 Jun
Comerciantes FC
0 : 0
Estudiantil CNI
20 Jun
Union Comercio
0 : 1
Comerciantes FC
Page 1 of 7

Santos FC

(Away)
26 Jul
Ayacucho
2 : 0
Santos FC
19 Jul
Santos FC
3 : 1
Binacional
28 Jun
Los Chankas
3 : 0
Santos FC
21 Jun
Santos FC
2 : 1
Ayacucho
29 May
Santos FC
0 : 1
Union Minas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cajamarca833210:814
2Moquegua833214:1113
3Cesar Vallejo832310:1011
4Tacna Heroica824211:1210
5Carlos Mannucci822415:198
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio870118:421
2Comerciantes FC823312:711
3ADA Jaen82429:910
4Santos FC831410:1110
5San Marcos81254:226
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)